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Luis Miguel Goitizolo

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RE: ARE WE NOW IN THE END TIMES?
2/26/2013 5:42:55 PM

Extreme Weather Linked to Giant Waves in Atmosphere


Extreme weather events have been on the rise in the last few decades, and man-made climate change may be causing them by interfering with global air-flow patterns, according to new research.

The Northern Hemisphere has taken a beating from extreme weather in recent years — the 2003 European heat wave, the 2010 Pakistan flood and the 2011 heat wave in the United States, for example. These events, in a general sense, are the result of the global movement of air.

Giant waves of air in the atmosphere normally even out the climate, by bringing warm air north from the tropics and cold air south from the Arctic. But a new study suggests these colossal waves have gotten stuck in place during extreme weather events.

"What we found is that during several recent extreme weather events these planetary waves almost freeze in their tracks for weeks," lead author Vladimir Petoukhov, of the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK) in Germany, said in a statement. "So instead of bringing in cool air after having brought warm air in before, the heat just stays."

How long these weather extremes last is critical, the researchers say. While two or three days of 86 degrees Fahrenheit (30 degrees Celsius) pose little threat, 20 days or more can lead to extreme heat stress, which can trigger deaths, forest fires and lost harvests. [The World's 10 Weirdest Weather Events]

Monster Waves

The researchers created equations to model the motion of the massive air waves, determining what it takes to make the waves plough to a stop and build up. The team then used these models to crunch daily weather data from the U.S. National Centers for Environmental Prediction.

During extreme weather events, the waves were indeed trapped and amplified, the scientists found. They also saw a significant increase in the occurrence of these trapped waves.

Here's how the waves may be getting trapped: The burning of fossil fuels causes more warming in the Arctic than in other latitudes, because the loss of snow and ice means heat gets absorbed by the darker ground, not reflected (as it would by the white snow). This warming lessens the temperature difference between the Arctic and northern latitudes like Europe. Since these differences drive air flow, a smaller difference means less air movement. Also, land areas warm and cool more easily than oceans. The result is an unnatural pattern of air flow that prevents the air waves from circulating over land.

The study's results help explain the spike in summer weather extremes. Previous research had shown a link between climate change and extreme weather, but did not identify the mechanism.

"This is quite a breakthrough, even though things are not at all simple — the suggested physical process increases the probability of weather extremes, but additional factors certainly play a role as well, including natural variability," study co-author Hans Joachim Schellnhuber, also of PIK, said in a statement.

The 32-year period studied provides a good explanation of past extreme weather events, the researchers say, but is too short to make predictions about how often such events may occur in the future.

The findings were reported online today (Feb. 25) in the journal Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.


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Luis Miguel Goitizolo

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RE: ARE WE NOW IN THE END TIMES?
2/26/2013 10:45:05 PM

Chicago votes in House race dominated by guns issue


Reuters/Reuters - A customer inspects a 9mm handgun at Rink's Gun and Sport in the Chicago, suburb of Lockport, Illinois in this June 26, 2008 file photograph. REUTERS/Frank Polich/Files

CHICAGO (Reuters) - Chicago area voters went to the polls on Tuesday to choose a Democrat who will likely succeed indicted former U.S. Representative Jesse Jackson Jr, in the first election clash ongun control since the Connecticut school massacre.

New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg, a champion of tighter U.S. gun controls, has poured more than $2 million from his political war chest into the contest in an effort to elect a candidate who favors tighter restrictions.

The Illinois lobbying group aligned with gun rights group the National Rifle Association, has endorsed a candidate opposed to an assault weapons ban.

Gun control vaulted to the top of the U.S. political agenda after a man last December 14, shot and killed 26 people at an elementary school in Newtown, Connecticut, including 20 children.

The outcome of the election will be an indication of whether Bloomberg and other advocates of gun control can effectively challenge the money and political influence of the NRA, which has long been a powerful force in U.S. elections.

The special election is to fill the seat of Jackson Jr, who resigned last November citing health problems, and pleaded guilty in federal court last week to using campaign funds for personal enrichment.

Jackson Jr was a reliable vote in Congress for gun control. But early polls in the race to succeed him showed that the Democratic primary could be won by Debbie Halvorson, a candidate who has an "A" rating from the NRA and is opposed to a ban on assault weapons.

Bloomberg elbowed his way into the race, blanketing Chicago television with ads attacking Halvorson and endorsing former state representative Robin Kelly, who supports tighter gun restrictions.

Turnout was expected to be light in the special election and could be hurt by a snowstorm that hit the Chicago area about midday on Tuesday, making travel treacherous.

With 14 candidates in the race, the outcome is difficult to predict. One public poll published last Friday showed Halvorson holding a slim lead, but some private polls have showed Kelly pulling ahead.

The large field of candidates drew some complaints from voters accustomed to Jackson Jr, who represented the district for nearly two decades.

"We've got to start getting together. We've got too many people running," said Donald Massingale, 73, a longtime Jackson Jr supporter.

Some voters also said they were glad the special election was being held to fill the seat. Jackson Jr disappeared from public view last June to be treated for mental health issues, and the district has effectively been without a representative in Washington since then.

"I don't think the people really understand the importance of this race to have the representation that our district needs," Delores Evans, 58, a poll worker said as she voted before starting work. Some 42 people had voted by midmorning in her precinct, which has more than 700 residents.

The race could also be affected by Chicago's racially charged politics. The district is majority African-American although parts of it stretch south to the predominantly white outer suburbs of Chicago.

Halvorson, who is the only white candidate for the seat, has appealed to suburban voters who might be sympathetic to gun ownership. Kelly, who is black, has highlighted a plague of gun violence in Chicago's inner city.

The winner of the Democratic primary is likely to be elected to the seat because the district is overwhelmingly Democratic.

(Reporting by Renita Young, writing by Greg McCune, editing by Jackie Frank, desking by G Crosse)


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Luis Miguel Goitizolo

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RE: ARE WE NOW IN THE END TIMES?
2/26/2013 10:47:01 PM

UPDATE 2-Chicago braces for storm that buried U.S. Plains

Tue Feb 26, 2013 1:56pm EST

(Adds details from Kansas City, Chicago and Detroit; changes dateline, previous Kansas City, Mo.)

Feb 26 (Reuters) - A potent winter storm that buried much of the U.S. Plains and left at least three people dead moved into Chicago on Tuesday, forcing hundreds of flight cancellations and raising the specter of a nightmarish evening commute.

The National Weather Service's Chicago office issued a winter weather advisory from noon through 9 p.m. Central time.

Forecasters predicted the storm, which packs a dangerous mix of wet snow, sleet, rain and high winds, would reach peak intensity around the evening rush hour, reducing visibility and creating treacherous driving conditions.

The Illinois Tollway agency, which maintains nearly 300 miles of highway around Chicago, said it was mobilizing its fleet of more than 180 snowplows in anticipation of the storm, which was expected to dump as much as 6 inches of wet snow north of the city.

At Chicago's O'Hare International Airport, sleet and low clouds on the front end of the storm were causing delays of nearly two-and-a-half hours, according to Flightaware.com, and nearly 300 arrivals and departures were canceled at O'Hare and Chicago's Midway Airport.

In Oklahoma, Texas and parts of Kansas, where some residents were still digging out from a winter storm last week, the storm dumped up to 17 inches (43 cm) of snow on Amarillo, Texas, and whipped Kansas City, Missouri, with winds of up to 30 miles (48 km) per hour.

Highways in the Texas and Oklahoma panhandles and parts of Kansas remained closed because of heavy and drifting snow.

Forecasters with the National Weather Service said the storm would dump 3 to 5 inches of wet snow on Detroit overnight and into Wednesday morning.

The storm has contributed to at least three deaths, two in Kansas and one in Oklahoma.

A woman died and three passengers were injured Monday night on Interstate 70 when their pickup truck rolled off the icy roadway in Ellis County, Kansas Governor Sam Brownback said. Earlier Monday, a man was killed when his car veered off the interstate in Sherman County near the Colorado border, he said.

"We urge everyone to avoid travel and be extremely cautious if you must be on the roads," said Ernest Garcia, superintendent of the Kansas Highway Patrol.

In northern Oklahoma, one person died when the roof of a home partially collapsed in the city of Woodward, said Matt Lehenbauer, the city's emergency management director.

"We have roofs collapsing all over town," said Woodward Mayor Roscoe Hill Jr. "We really have a mess on our hands."

Kansas City was also hard hit by the storm, which dumped as much as 13 inches of snow on some parts of the metro region on Tuesday, said Chris Bowman, meteorologist for the National Weather Service.

Bowman said another 1 to 3 inches could fall Tuesday evening and nearly two-thirds of the flights at Kansas City International Airport Tuesday afternoon were canceled.

The storm cut power to some 80,000 households in the Kansas City metropolitan area and to more than 12,000 rural customers, officials said. About half the Kansas City customers had power restored by noon Tuesday, said a spokeswoman for Kansas City Power & Light.

Heavy wet snow weighed down power lines and tree branches, making them vulnerable to collapse, especially with winds of 10 to 20 mph, said Sharon Watson, spokesperson for emergency management in Kansas.

Watson said this week's storm has in ways had a greater impact than last week's.

"It has covered far less of an area but it has been more deadly and there is the big concern about power outages," Watson said.

Governors in Texas and Oklahoma had declared states of emergency in the areas struck by the snowstorm to speed assistance to those in need. Interstate and other highways were closed across the Texas and Oklahoma panhandles.

Areas around Amarillo and Lubbock received more than a foot (30 cm) of snow during the storm, which had cut visibility to near zero on some roads, Texas transportation officials said.

In addition to the winter storm, National Weather Service forecasters on Tuesday issued tornado watches across central Florida and up the eastern coast to South Carolina.

(Reporting by Kevin Murphy in Missouri, David Bailey in Minneapolis and James B. Kelleher in Chicago; Editing by Lisa Von Ahn, Barbara Goldberg, Nick Zieminski and Dan Grebler)


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Luis Miguel Goitizolo

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RE: ARE WE NOW IN THE END TIMES?
2/27/2013 1:08:56 AM

Karzai Expels US Forces from Afghan Province

Karzai expels US forces from Afghan province

Afghan government accuses US special forces in Maidan Wardak province of furthering “instability and insecurity”.

AlJazeera, 25 Feb 2013

http://www.aljazeera.com/news/asia/2013/02/2013224145944907284.html

Hamid Karzai, the Afghan president, has ordered the withdrawal of US special forces from a restive eastern province in Afghanistan within two weeks.
“This is an important issue that we must discuss with our Afghan counterparts – US statement

At a press conference in the Afghan capital on Sunday, Aimal Faizi, presidential spokesman, said US special forces were responsible for furthering “insecurity and instability” Maidan Wardak.

“In today’s [weekly] national security council meeting, Afghan President Hamid Karzai ordered the ministry of defence to kick out the US special forces from Wardak … within two weeks,” Faizi said.

Faizi said “misconduct” by people linked to the US special forces in Wardak included the beheading of a student and the capture of nine missing locals.

A US statement said it took all allegations of misconduct seriously.

But said the US could not comment specifically on this latest development “until we have had a chance to speak with senior government officials”, the statement by a spokesman for US special forces said.

“This is an important issue that we must discuss with our Afghan counterparts,” the statement said.

‘Suspicious force’

From the perspective of one neighbourhood in Herat

A statement issued by the national security council said “it became clear that armed individuals named as US special force stationed in Wardak province engage in harassing, annoying, torturing and even murdering innocent people”.

The statement points to two recent examples, the disapperance of nine people “in an operation by this suspicious force” and the disappearance of a student that officials say was found two days later with his throat cut under a bridge.

“Such actions have caused local public resentment and hatred,” the statement read.

Sunday’s announcement comes hours after two bombings targeting intelligence officials and police in Logar province, which was also mentioned as an area of concern during the weekly security meeting.

The ministry of defence has been assigned to insure that US special forces withdraw from Wardak within two weeks time.

The International Security Assistance Force in Afghanistan, told Al Jazeera’s Jennifer Glasse that they are “aware of the comments made by the spokesman in the press conference”.

Assuring that they talk “all allegations of misconduct seriously”, ISAF said they are engaging with the Afghans on this issue.


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Luis Miguel Goitizolo

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RE: ARE WE NOW IN THE END TIMES?
2/27/2013 1:10:11 AM

Trial of the Century’: Can BP Deflect Blame for Gulf Oil Spill?

Trial of the century’: Can BP deflect blame for Gulf oil spill?

What once seemed likely – a settlement – now appears off the table as the US prepares to take BP to court in New Orleans on Monday, alleging the company exhibited ‘gross negligence’ in the lead-up to the Deepwater Horizon disaster in 2010. At stake: $17 billion.

By , Staff writer, Christian Science Monitor, February 23, 2013

http://tinyurl.com/bhw55yk

In this 2010 photo, a shrimp boat is used to collect oil with booms in the waters of Chandeleur Sound, La. The federal civil trial against the operators of the doomed Deepwater Horizon oil rig is set to begin Monday.

Seemingly as complex as the Gulf of Mexico itself, the federal civil trial against the operators of the doomed Deepwater Horizon oil rig is set to begin Monday – a high-dollar showdown pitting oil giant BP‘s cash wealth against the legacy of one of America‘s richest, yet most troubled wildlife habitats.

The April 20, 2010, spill that began with an explosion that killed 11 rig workers and ended three months later with more than 200 million gallons of light crude spilled into the Gulf still resonates physically and psychologically in the five coastal states affected, even as BP, the chief speculator, has gone to massive lengths to clean up the mess while paying billions in damages to residents and communities along the sullied coastline.

But Monday’s trial, which could take three months, is about answering the still-critical subjective question: Did BP exhibit “gross negligence” in its operation of the rig, causing the largest offshore oil spill in US history? If so, the company could be on the hook for as much as $17 billion in damages, after having already paid out $24 billion.

“I thought that there would be considerable pressure on BP in particular to settle, since they are most likely to bear the heavy share of the damages and that they would have not looked forward to being on the front pages every day in an ongoing trial,” says Edward Sherman, a disaster liability expert at Tulane University Law School, in New Orleans.

To be sure, the defendant side of the docket is complex, since the trial judge (there is no jury) will have to decide what percentage of responsibility each of the three major players – BP, the speculator; Transocean, the rig owner; and Halliburton, a key drilling consultant – will have to bear if found responsible.

But the plaintiff side, too, is rife with tension, particularly because joining federal lawyers and environmental groups are five separate affected states – Florida, Alabama,Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas – all of which have differing thoughts on whether to settle the case quickly for maximum payout or push BP into a trial that will illuminate how deeply the spill affects not just wildlife, but everyone from fishermen to hotel owners, bartenders, and maids.

Part of the problem is that plaintiffs don’t want to take a deal that’s inadequate given lingering unknowns, including potential future problems from the spill.

“It will be years, even decades, before we understand the true impacts of the spill,” says Chris Canfield, a vice president of the National Audubon Society, in a statement. “The law requires BP to compensate the American people for all the damage that was done – for every smothered blade of marsh grass and for every oiled pelican – as well as for any long-term effects we may have not yet seen…. The outcome of this case must ensure that BP will be held fully accountable not only for the damages we see today, but also for any damages we will discover years from now.”

In a way, the parties involved will be treading familiar ground.

Other court cases and congressional investigations have all expounded on the series of events that led to the massive explosion and fire that eventually sunk the Deepwater Horizon, crumpling a riser pipe of oil and disabling emergency shutoff valves at the wellhead, almost a mile below the Gulf’s surface.

A nation watched in horror as underwater cameras attached to remotely controlled submersibles documented the underwater geyser of heavily pressurized crude oil, all of which led to massive fishery closures and a six-month shutdown of new drill sites in the Gulf.

While BP has claimed responsibility, the ultimate legal liability is not cut-and-dried as US District Court Judge Carl Barbier has made clear that the two other companies also may bear blame for what became a domino effect of missed signs and overlooked problems that finally led to the explosion.

Government lawyers, meanwhile, will bring evidence they say proves that the accident was ultimately avoidable, and that the companies carelessly and negligently cut corners as they hunted for profit.

“Gross negligence is a very high bar that BP believes cannot be met in this case,” Rupert Bondy, BP’s general counsel, said last week in a statement. “This was a tragic accident, resulting from multiple causes and involving multiple parties. We firmly believe we were not grossly negligent.”

In the almost three years since the spill, authorities have struggled to pinpoint exact damages. People on the coast say oil from the spill continues to wash ashore during heavy storms. Some experts say higher than usual dolphin mortality rates may be tied to the spill, where those marine mammals may be signaling the poor health of the ecosystem.

Yet it’s also hard to determine an exact cause of such events, given other pollution problems in the Gulf, including vast “dead zones” caused by an excess of upstream agricultural pollution.

“It’s going to be very, very hard unless you can isolate a particular substance to work out the toxicology here,” Dr. Moby Solangi, president of the Institute for Marine Mammal Studies in Gulfport, Miss., tells the Guardian newspaper.

Even if the trial gets going Monday, a settlement may still come depending on how the first few days go, and as lawyers on both sides get a sense of what the other side has up its sleeve. And BP has a history of such moves: All four trials that began in the aftermath of the 2005 explosion at a BP refinery in Texas City were eventually settled before the court could make a ruling.

“There are a number of issues involved and lots of money at stake, so it’s easy to see how settlement talks could break down,” says University of Michigan Law School professor David Uhlmann, the former chief of the Department of Justice‘s Environmental Crimes Section, in an e-mail to the Monitor. “Still, going to trial raises enormous risks for both sides.”

"Choose a job you love and you will not have to work a day in your life" (Confucius)

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