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Luis Miguel Goitizolo

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RE: ARE WE NOW IN THE END TIMES?
10/27/2016 2:42:29 PM
2 quakes rattle Italy, crumbling buildings and causing panic


Buildings and roads were damaged by strong earthquakes in central Italy, but there were no initial reports of casualties. (Reuters)


ROME — A pair of strong aftershocks shook central Italy late Wednesday, crumbling churches and buildings, knocking out power and sending panicked residents into the rain-drenched streets just two months after a powerful earthquake killed nearly 300 people.

But hours after the temblors hit, there were no reports of serious injuries or signs of people trapped in rubble, said the head of Italy’s civil protection agency, Fabrizio Curcio. A handful of people were treated for slight injuries or anxiety at area hospitals in the most affected regions of Umbria and Le Marche, he said.

“All told, the information so far is that it’s not as catastrophic” as it could have been, Curcio said.

The temblors were actually aftershocks to the Aug. 24 quake that struck a broad swath of central Italy, demolishing buildings in three towns and their hamlets, seismologists said. Several towns this time around also suffered serious damage, with homes in the epicenter of Visso spilling out into the street.

The first struck at 7:10 p.m. and carried a magnitude of 5.4. But the second one was eight times stronger at 6.1, according to the U.S. Geological Survey. Because many residents had already left their homes with plans to spend the night in their cars or elsewhere, they weren’t home when the second aftershock hit two hours later, possibly saving lives, officials said.

“It was an unheard-of violence. Many houses collapsed,” the mayor of hard-hit Ussita, Marco Rinaldi, told Sky TG24. “The facade of the church collapsed. By now I have felt many earthquakes. This is the strongest of my life. It was something terrible.”

Rinaldi said two elderly people were rescued from their home, where they were trapped, and appeared to be in good condition. Some 200 people in Ussita were planning to sleep in the streets, given the impossibility of putting up tents so late at night.

Calling it “apocalyptic,” he said the town and its hamlets were “finished.”

A church crumbled in the ancient Perugian town of Norcia, famed for its Benedictine monastery and its cured meats. A bell-tower damaged on Aug. 24 fell and crushed a building in Camerino, the ANSA news agency said. Elsewhere, buildings were damaged, though many were in zones that were declared off-limits after the Aug. 24 quake that flattened parts of three towns.

“We’re without power, waiting for emergency crews,” said Mauro Falcucci, the mayor of Castelsantangelo sul Nera, near the epicenter. Speaking to Sky TG24, he said: “We can’t see anything. It’s tough. Really tough.”

He said some buildings had collapsed, but that there were no immediate reports of injuries in his community. He added that darkness and a downpour were impeding a full accounting.

Schools were closed in several towns Thursday as a precaution and a handful of hospitals were evacuated after suffering damage.

Premier Matteo Renzi, who cut short a visit to southern Italy to monitor the quake response, tweeted “all of Italy is embracing those hit once again.”

Italy’s national vulcanology center said the first quake had an epicenter in the Macerata area, near Perugia in the quake-prone Apennine Mountain chain. The U.S. Geological Survey put the epicenter near Visso, 170 kilometers northeast of Rome, and said it had a depth of some 10 kilometers (six miles).

The second aftershock struck two hours later at 9:18 p.m. with a similar depth.

Experts say even relatively modest quakes that have shallow depths can cause significant damage because the seismic waves are closer to the surface. But seismologist Gianluca Valensise said a 10-kilometer depth is within the norm for an Apennine temblor.

The Aug. 24 quake that destroyed the hilltop village of Amatrice and other nearby towns had a depth of about 10 kilometers. Amatrice Mayor Sergio Pirozzi said residents felt Wednesday’s aftershocks but “We are thanking God that there are no dead and no injured.”

The original Aug. 24, 6.2-magnitude quake was still 41 percent stronger than even the second aftershock.

Wednesday’s temblors were felt from Perugia in Umbria to the capital Rome and as far north as Veneto. It also shook the central Italian city of L’Aquila, which was struck by a deadly quake in 2009. The mayor of L’Aquila, however, said there were no immediate reports of damage there.

A section of a major state highway north of Rome, the Salaria, was closed near Arquata del Tronto as a precaution because of a quake-induced landslide, said a spokeswoman for the civil protection agency, Ornella De Luca.

The mayor of Arquata del Tronto, Aleandro Petrucci, said the aftershocks felt stronger than the August quake, which devastated parts of his town. But he said there were no reports of injuries to date and that the zone hardest hit by the last quake remained uninhabitable.

“We don’t worry because there is no one in the red zone, if something fell, walls fell,” he said.

In Rome, some 230 kilometers (145 miles) southwest from the epicenter, centuries-old palazzi shook and officials at the Foreign Ministry evacuated the building.

The quakes were actually aftershocks of the magnitude 6.2 earthquake from two months ago. Because they were so close to the surface, they have the potential to cause more shaking and more damage, “coupled with infrastructure that’s vulnerable to shaking,” said U.S. Geological Survey seismologist Paul Earle.

“They have a lot of old buildings that weren’t constructed at a time with modern seismic codes,” he said.

Given the size, depth and location of the quakes, the USGS estimates that about 24 million people likely felt at least weak shaking.

This original quake was about 20 kilometers (12 miles) northwest of the original shock, which puts it on the northern edge of the aftershock sequence and two months is normal for aftershocks, Earle said.

___

This version corrects the spelling of the mayor of Ussita to Rinaldi, not Rinaldo.

___

Barry contributed from Milan. AP science writer Seth Borenstein contributed from Washington.

Copyright 2016 The Associated Press. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed.


(The Washington Post)


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Luis Miguel Goitizolo

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RE: ARE WE NOW IN THE END TIMES?
10/27/2016 3:00:18 PM

NATO seeks troops to deter Russia on eastern flank


NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg addresses a news conference after the NATO-Russia Council at the Alliance headquarters in Brussels, Belgium, July 13, 2016. REUTERS/Francois Lenoir

By Robin Emmott

BRUSSELS (Reuters) - NATO will press allies on Wednesday to contribute to its biggest military build-up on Russia's borders since the Cold War as the alliance prepares for a protracted quarrel with Moscow.

With Russia's aircraft carrier heading to Syria in a show of force along Europe's shores, alliance defense ministers aim to make good on a July promise by NATO leaders to send forces to the Baltic states and eastern Poland from early next year.

The United States hopes for binding commitments from Europe to fill four battle groups of some 4,000 troops, part of NATO's response to Russia's 2014 annexation of Crimea and concern it could try a similar tactic in Europe's ex-Soviet states.

France, Denmark, Italy and other allies are expected to join the four battle groups led by the United States, Germany, Britain and Canada to go to Poland, Lithuania, Estonia and Latvia, with forces ranging from armored infantry to drones.

NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg said the commitments would be "a clear demonstration of our transatlantic bond." Diplomats said it would also send a message to Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump, who has complained that European allies do not pay their way in the alliance.

The battle groups will be backed by NATO's 40,000-strong rapid-reaction force, and if need be, further follow-on forces, for any potential conflict, which could move into Baltic states and Poland on rotation.

The strategy is part of an emerging new deterrent that could eventually be combined with missile defenses, air patrols and defenses against cyber attacks.

However, the alliance is still struggling for a similar strategy in the Black Sea region, which Turkish President Tayyip Erdogan has said is becoming a "Russian lake" because of Moscow's military presence there.

Romania, Bulgaria and Turkey are expected to soon come forward with a plan to increase naval and air patrols in the area, as well as a multinational NATO brigade in Romania.

"TO PREVENT CONFLICT"

For the Kremlin, the U.S.-led alliance's plans are already too much given Russia's grievances at NATO's expansion eastwards.

Stoltenberg denied going too far. "This is a credible deterrence, not to provoke a conflict but to prevent conflict," he told reporters on Tuesday.

Next year's deployments have taken on greater symbolism since Russia pulled out of several nuclear disarmament agreements in the past two months while moving nuclear-capable missiles into its Baltic exclave in Kaliningrad.

The so-called Iskander-M cruise missiles can hit targets across Poland and the Baltics, although NATO officials declined to say if Russia had moved nuclear warheads to Kaliningrad.

"This deployment, if it becomes permanent, if the presence of nuclear weapons were confirmed, would be a change in (Russia's) security posture," the United States' envoy to NATO, Douglas Lute, said.

Tensions have been building since Crimea and the West's decision to impose retaliatory sanctions, but the breakdown of a U.S-Russia brokered ceasefire in Syria on Oct. 3, followed by U.S. accusations that Russia has used cyber attacks to disrupt the presidential election, have signaled a sharp worsening of East-West relations.

EU leaders met last week to consider fresh sanctions over Russian bombing of civilian areas in Aleppo and NATO's Stoltenberg said he fears the Russian warships heading to the Mediterranean could launch new attacks on the Syrian city.

Even before the break down of the Syrian ceasefire, Russian President Vladimir Putin suspended a treaty with Washington on cleaning up weapons-grade plutonium, signaling he was willing to use nuclear disarmament as a new bargaining chip in disputes with the United States over Ukraine and Syria.

(Editing by Robin Pomeroy)

(Yahoo News)

"Choose a job you love and you will not have to work a day in your life" (Confucius)

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Luis Miguel Goitizolo

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RE: ARE WE NOW IN THE END TIMES?
10/27/2016 3:24:09 PM
U.S. has secretly expanded its global network of drone bases to North Africa



U.S.-made Reaper drone, part of Operation Barkhane's aerial detachment, flies over a Nigerian military airport in Niamey in January 2015. (Dominique Faget/AFP/Getty Images)



The Pentagon has secretly expanded its global network of drone bases­ to North Africa, deploying unmanned aircraft and U.S. military personnel to a facility in Tunisia to conduct spy missions in neighboring Libya.

The Air Force Reaper drones began flying out of the Tunisian base in late June and have played a key role in an extended U.S. air offensive against an Islamic State stronghold in neighboring Libya.

The Obama administration pressed for access to the Tunisian base as part of a security strategy for the broader Middle East that calls for placing drones and small Special Operations teams at a number of facilities within striking distance of militants who could pose a threat to the West.

U.S. officials, speaking on the condition of anonymity to discuss an operation that has not been acknowledged, said the drones being flown out of Tunisia were unarmed and were principally being used to collect intelligence on Islamic State targets in Sirte, Libya, where the United States has conducted more than 300 airstrikes since August.

U.S. officials said they sought access to the air base in Tunisia to close a critical “blind spot” for U.S. and Western intelligence services­ in North Africa, which has become the Islamic State’s largest base of operations outside of Syria and Iraq. The region is also home to al-Qaeda-linked fighters.


Obama administration officials say they have tried to shore up Tunisia’s fledgling democracy and position the country as a key counter­terrorism partner in the region. Although the drones operating out of Tunisia conduct only surveillance missions, U.S. officials said they could be armed in the future if Tunisia gives the United States permission. The Tunisian Embassy in Washington declined to comment.

The U.S. military has other drone bases­ on the African continent, from Niger to Djibouti. But officials said they were too far from populous areas on the Libyan coast to be useful in day-to-day counter­terrorism operations there. The longer drones have to travel to reach their destinations, the less time they have to “loiter” over their targets.

For lethal strikes in Libya, the U.S. military has relied on manned U.S. aircraft based in Europe and armed drones flown out of Naval Air Station Sigonella on the Italian island of Sicily.

Sigonella is relatively close to Sirte, but flights from the base are routinely canceled because of cloud cover over the Mediterranean and other weather-related issues, officials said.

U.S. logistical concerns about using Sigonella and other bases­ in Europe for operations in North Africa prompted the Pentagon’s push for a facility on Tunisian soil.

[How U.S. Special Operations troops secretly help foreign forces target terrorists]

The Obama administration has kept its negotiations over access to the base secret for more than a year because of concerns that Tunisia’s young democracy, worried about being closely associated with an outside military power, would pull out of the talks, or that militants would step up attacks in the North African country.

The Islamic State has already claimed a number of attacks in Tunisia over the past two years, including the killing of dozens of foreign tourists at a beach resort in 2015.

Defense officials said the Pentagon has deployed about 70 military personnel to Tunisia to oversee drone operations there.

Tunisia was the Obama administration’s first choice of countries in North Africa to host U.S. drones because of its proximity to Libya and Washington’s interest in rapidly expanding security ties with the government.

But U.S. officials said the negotiations came at a particularly delicate time. Five years after their uprising against dictator Zine el-Abidine Ben Ali, Tunisians have grown increasingly frustrated with many of their post-revolution leaders. In the summer, disaffection over the economy and security boiled over, leading to the premier’s ouster.

Tunisian officials negotiating the drone deal were particularly concerned about a public backlash over cooperation with a foreign power and wanted to avoid the appearance that they were a party to U.S. military operations in a neighboring country.

At the same time, Tunisian officials were eager to secure additional U.S. support for their counter­terrorism fight at home. Tunisian officials were especially worried that an eventual assault on Islamic State hideouts in Libya could send militants streaming across the border into Tunisia.

The United States was already conducting manned surveillance flights over Tunisia, providing the country’s security forces­ with intelligence about extremist threats. That program helped smooth the way in Tunis for Washington’s request to base drones there.

[Why it’s taking so long for the U.S. and its allies to finish off the Islamic State in Libya]

U.S. military officials in Washington and Stuttgart, Germany, where Africa Command is based, grew increasingly eager to strike a deal with Tunisia this past spring. Opening a drone base there would help clear the way for the long-awaited Sirte operation, they said.

A brazen attack in March
on a town near the Libyan borderprovided proof for some Tunisian officials of why more U.S. help might be required.

Under the memorandum of understanding giving the Pentagon access to the base, the Americans committed to helping build up Tunisia’s intelligence-collection capabilities.

While Tunisia is racing to grow its own aerial surveillance program, with U.S.-manufactured ScanEagles and other light manned surveillance aircraft, the country remains reliant on the United States and other allies for intelligence about militants.

As part of the new arrangements, the Obama administration agreed to share intelligence from the Reapers with Tunisian security forces­ to help them improve border security. But so far, the United States has made drone flights inside Libya the priority and officials said that is unlikely to change at least until the campaign in Sirte winds down. The battle in Sirte has already lasted far longer than U.S. officials had expected, as effective Islamic State de­fenses and repercussions from Libya’s political crisis slow the advance of local forces­ backed by U.S. air power.

The United States’ second military intervention in Libya in five years has underscored the challenge that the Obama administration has faced getting even close NATO allies such as Italy to open their bases­ to armed U.S. drones.

While U.S. surveillance drones have been based in Sigonella since 2011, the Italian government refused to give the U.S. military permission to fly armed drones out of the base until earlier this year, citing concerns about sparking an anti­war backlash at home.

Desperate to fill the intelligence void over Libya, the United States briefly had to use drones based in faraway Jordan.

The Obama administration had considered opening backup talks with Egypt about putting a drone base there to support operations in Libya. But U.S. officials said those talks were never initiated.

Read more:

Why it’s taking so long for the U.S. and its allies to finish off the Islamic State in Libya

Adam Entous writes about national security, foreign policy and intelligence for The Post. He joined the newspaper in 2016 after more than 20 years with The Wall Street Journal and Reuters, where he covered the Pentagon, the CIA, the White House and Congress. He covered President George W. Bush for five years after the September 11, 2001, attacks.

Missy Ryan writes about the Pentagon, military issues, and national security for The Washington Post.
Follow @missy_ryan


(The Washington Post)


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Luis Miguel Goitizolo

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RE: ARE WE NOW IN THE END TIMES?
10/27/2016 4:40:44 PM

Russia reportedly tests nuclear-capable hypersonic glider warhead

Edited time: 26 Oct, 2016 13:25


RS-18 (SS-19 Stiletto) intercontinental ballistic missile © Sergey Kazak / Sputnik

Russian strategic missile troops reportedly launched an RS-18 ballistic missile on Tuesday. The launch may have been a test of the advanced hypersonic glider warhead, which would be able to defeat US anti-missile systems.

The test was conducted at midday from a site near the town of Yasny, Orenburg region, in the southern Urals, and the warhead reached the Kura test range in Kamchatka in Russia’s Far East.

“The test was a success. The warhead was delivered to Kura field,” the Defense Ministry reported.

Popular defense blog MilitaryRussia.ru says the launch was meant to test Russia’s hypersonic glider warhead, currently known by its developer designation, ‘object 4202’, or Aeroballistic Hypersonic Warhead.

A select few countries are currently developing the technology. The US has the HTV-2, a device developed by DARPA that has two partially successful tests under its belt. The Chinese warhead using the same technology is called DF-ZF, with Beijing first confirming a test in 2014. India is also studying hypersonic flight technology, but unlike Russia, the US and China, it is reportedly not developing a strategic missile warhead.

A hypersonic glider vehicle (HGV) is different from a conventional ballistic missile warhead in that it travels most of the time in the stratosphere rather than in space. It gives an HGV-tipped missile greater range and may give anti-missile systems a shorter window to respond to an attack.

More importantly, an HGV can maneuver during the approach to a target at high speed, making interception significantly harder, because it makes guiding an interceptor missile towards the attacking vehicle challenging and potentially impossible with current rocket technology.

READ MORE: Russia unveils first image of prospective ICBM set to replace ‘Satan’ missile

Object 4202 is reportedly meant to be used with Russia’s next-gen heavy strategic missile the RS-28 Sarmat. Military experts estimate that the new ICBM, an image of which was first made public this week, may carry up to three HGVs as payload.

A previous possible test of object 4202 was reported in April.


(RT)

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Luis Miguel Goitizolo

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RE: ARE WE NOW IN THE END TIMES?
10/27/2016 5:12:13 PM

AS ISIS FLEES SIRTE IN LIBYA, TUNISIA FACES GREATER THREAT FROM RETURNING JIHADIS

An anticipated stream of ISIS fighters returning home has Tunisian authorities on high alert.

BY ON 10/27/16 AT 10:57 AM


The Rise Of ISIS In Libya

The call of “Allahu Akbar” (“God is great”) echoed from a megaphone in the Tunisian border town of Ben Guerdane on March 7. Islamic State militant group (ISIS) fighters, mostly Tunisian nationals, had arrived from neighboring Libya. They beckoned residents towards them as they launched an assault on security forces, killing 12 and seven civilians.

Security forces ended the assault, killing 36 militants and arresting six others. ISIS’s attempt to capture the area and establish what President Beji Caid Essebsi called “a new emirate,” had failed. But as the first mass-coordinated ISIS attack to strike Tunisia, it highlighted the danger the North African country faces from militants returning from its permeable border with Libya, a country wracked by instability.

Tunisian Specials Forces

A member of Tunisian special forces stands guard on the outskirts of Ben Guerdane, March 21. Jihadis mounted a deadly assault on the town earlier that month.FATHI NASRI/AFP/GETTY

Now, as pro-government Libyan forces, backed by U.S. airstrikes and Western special forces, near victory in the central coastal city of Sirte—ISIS’s only stronghold in North Africa—Tunisian authorities expect a new wave of returning jihadis. With the returning fighters comes a heightened extremist threat.

While some ISIS fighters have flocked south in the face of intense military pressure in Sirte—seeking refuge in the vast Sahel desert region, or joining other Libyan groups such as the Al-Qaeda-affiliated Ansar al-Sharia—many Tunisians are trying to return home. Tunisians represent the majority of foreign fighters in Iraq and Syria, according to official figures. But of more than 4,000 Tunisians to travel to Iraq and Syria to fight for radical Islamist groups, some 700 have come back.

Fighters returning from Iraq or Syria face the most obstacles on the journey back, with the prospect of arrest at the airport if they choose to fly from Turkey. But those based in Libya can move easily, crossing Tunisia’s eastern border, as many smugglers do, to sell cheap Libyan goods such as petrol on the streets of Tunisia’s towns and cities. Jihadis can even pay smugglers to help them across the border, according to experts. The fighters are managing to enter the country despite Tunisia building a 125-mile barrier on its border with Libya to keep them out.

“Tunisia’s military continues strengthening its border defense capabilities, but the flow of goods and people across the border is constant, both through legal crossing points and through smuggling routes,” says Haim Malka, senior fellow at the Washington D.C.-based Center for Strategic and International Studies. “Returning fighters can take advantage of the relatively porous border to cross from Libya into Tunisia.”

Tunisia-Libya border crossing
Tunisian police guarding the country's border with Libya, November 26, 2015.FETHI NASRI/AFP/GETTY

ISIS is resisting the Libyan forces in Sirte but many of its fighters are leaving, according to local officials and the country’s unity government. Pro-government forces killed 10 ISIS fighters fleeing Sirte in October and reports have emerged of militants attempting to blend in with the local civilian population—anti-ISIS forces have found sinks full of shaved-off beards and long hair in Sirte buildings previously housing militants. ISIS has also developed a presence near the Western Libyan city of Sabratha—less than a two-hour drive to Ben Guerdane—where U.S. airstrikes and Libyan security force raids have cornered the group.

Both Tunisian and French governments have called for greater cooperation to deal with the threat that neighboring countries face from the spread of ISIS fighters once they are defeated in Sirte, which held around 5,000 militants at its peak, according to U.S. official estimates.

“The danger is real,” Tunisian Defense Minister Farhat Hachani told journalists on the sidelines of a meeting of defense officials in Paris in September. “Those who leave Sirte are heading south to eventually join Boko Haram, but some are also going west.”

He added that international cooperation is “not up to the level of the danger” posed by ISIS in North Africa. “We are in a decisive moment. The threats endanger all the region. We have to cooperate before the boat sinks.”

While regional cooperation will aid the fight against ISIS, the key issues that Tunisia should focus on are border security, corruption and countering domestic radicalization, experts say.

Tunisian beach massacre
The cordoned-off beach in the aftermath of an attack that killed 38 people, Sousse, Tunisia, June 27, 2015.KENZO TRIBOUILLARD/AFP/GETTY

“Tunisia must continue to do more to secure its borders with Libya and control smuggling activities because this would be the only way for returning fighters to get back into the country,” says Mohamed Eljarh, non-resident fellow at the Atlantic Council's Rafik Hariri Centre for the Middle East, based in the eastern Libyan city of Tobruk.

“It must take tough measures against corruption of the police force—especially those manning roads or checkpoints—and there is no doubt that Tunisia must work on the wider socio-economic issues that lead Tunisians to the path of radicalization.”

The Tunisian government’s inability to tackle these root causes has allowed ISIS an increased presence in the country. The tourism industry—a vital stream of revenue for the economy—suffered severe losses in the wake of the assault on the Bardo museum in Tunis in March 2015, which killed 22 people, and the beach massacre in the coastal city of Sousse three months later, which killed 38 people. The four attackers responsible had all received training in Libya.

But the residents of Ben Guerdane did not rise up against security forces to meet the call to arms as ISIS had hoped. According to Tarek Kahlaoui, a former adviser to Tunisia’s first Arab Spring leader Moncef Marzouki, and Professor of Islamic History and Art at Rutgers University in New Jersey, the militants’ failure demonstrates that Tunisia does not have the right conditions for ISIS to capture territory in impoverished areas—unlike the northern Iraqi city of Mosul in June 2014.

“I think [the threat] is huge," Kahlaoui says. "You have hundreds of Tunisians who are trying to escape and this factor may provide a platform for possible attacks. But clearly what happened in Ben Guerdane shows they don’t have a popular incubator.

"Attacking a whole city is only possible when you expect some kind of popular support."

As Tunisian jihadis fail to hold onto territory in Libya, as well as Iraq and Syria, ISIS is likely to focus its efforts on more attacks led by small cells of radicalized individuals, rather than the mass assault seen in Ben Guerdane.

“I think one of the lessons that terrorists took from Ben Guerdane is that the approach of a large, overwhelming attack on a single city is not yet possible in Tunisia,” Kahlaoui adds. “This is going to push ISIS back to the classic lone-wolf approach.”

(Newsweek)

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