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Luis Miguel Goitizolo

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RE: ARE WE NOW IN THE END TIMES?
5/8/2015 10:28:17 AM

3,000 Nigerians escaping Boko Haram deported from Niger

Associated Press

Nigeria refugees who were deported by Niger troops arrive in Gaidam, Nigeria Thursday, May 6, 2015. Niger troops have deported more than 3,000 Nigerian fishermen and refugees escaping Boko Haram, forcing them to undertake a brutal three-day trek in which at least a dozen people died, an official and witnesses said Wednesday. Nigeria's National Emergency Management Agency's Charles Otegbabe said it was alerted by Niger and sent trucks to collect the exhausted refugees at the border, registering at least 3,000 new arrivals in Gaidam town and expect hundreds more. (AP Photo/Jossy Ola)


GAIDAM, Nigeria (AP) — Niger troops have deported more than 3,000 Nigerian fishermen and refugees escaping Boko Haram, forcing them to undertake a brutal three-day trek in which at least a dozen people died, an official and witnesses said Wednesday.

The refugees said they were compelled to return to Nigeria after Boko Haram last week attacked an island in Lake Chad.

The Nigerians said soldiers arrived at the fishing village of Lelewa and ordered them to leave. Niger officials did not immediately respond to request for comment.

On Monday, Niger said it was planning a military operation in the area to rout Boko Haram extremists and ordered its citizens to move further inland.

Nigeria's National Emergency Management Agency said it was alerted by Niger and sent trucks to collect the exhausted refugees at the border.

The agency's Charles Otegbabe, director of search and rescue, registered the new arrivals in Gaidam town, in the northeastern Borno state.

"We thought there would be about 2,000 but we have already registered more than 3,000 and there are still more people coming," he told The Associated Press.

The refugees said hundreds more were on their way.

"They didn't even give us time to collect our clothes. We had to abandon everything," said Lubabatu Isa, a 21-year-old carrying a baby strapped to her back.

Isa and Nura Auwal, another refugee, said about a dozen people died during the three-day walk to the border. Auwal said they included a woman, Fatima Hassan, and her newborn twins.

"There was no water. It was very hot. They collapsed and died. Nobody had any energy left to help them and we just had to leave them in the bush," said a distressed Auwal, 22.

Niger is hosting more than 100,000 other Nigerian refugees who have fled Boko Haram and who apparently are being allowed to remain in camps outside the Lake Chad area.

"Choose a job you love and you will not have to work a day in your life" (Confucius)

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Luis Miguel Goitizolo

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RE: ARE WE NOW IN THE END TIMES?
5/8/2015 10:33:19 AM

Analysis: New Netanyahu government headed for turmoil

Associated Press

FILE - In this Wednesday, April 15, 2015 file photo, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu looks on as he speaks at the opening ceremony of the Holocaust Remembrance Day at the Yad Vashem Holocaust Memorial in Jerusalem. Netanyahu has managed to cobble together a government dominated by nationalist and religious allies, setting the stage for conflict with the Palestinians and much of the world and leaving Israel angrily divided. (AP Photo/Sebastian Scheiner)


JERUSALEM (AP) — Benjamin Netanyahu has managed to cobble together a government dominated by nationalist and religious allies, setting the stage for conflict with the Palestinians and much of the world and leaving Israel angrily divided.

The coalition concluded this week has little desire for another round of peace talks with the Palestinians — or even going through the motions in order to pacify things, as has been done in the past.

Indeed, a key coalition partner — the Jewish Home party — favors increased settlement building in the West Bank, annexation of part of the territory and a version of perpetual military domination over the rest. Jewish Home will control ministries that can influence settlements, overhaul the relatively liberal judiciary and ramp up nationalism in Israeli classrooms.

Israelis didn't necessarily vote for this. Indeed, the Palestinian issue was largely left off the table during the election, mostly because the moderate opposition calculated that voters, disillusioned by years of failed peace efforts, were not interested and cannot easily be swayed.

In the fragmented system of proportional representation, small parties have long enjoyed outsize influence. In this case, the Jewish Home provided Netanyahu with the necessary cushion to secure a narrow parliamentary majority, giving it tremendous leverage in coalition talks.

The internal Israeli discourse is already boiling over with anger over domestic fissures unrelated to the Palestinian issue.

Many Israelis, even some Netanyahu voters, are outraged over his concessions to the ultra-Orthodox community, rolling back recent reforms aimed at enforcing the military draft on religious males and coaxing them into the workforce instead of a lifetime of studying religious texts at public expense. Israeli Arabs, with a fifth of the citizens, seem to be gearing up to demand a bigger say and shake off their underprivileged status. European-descended Jews are livid at Middle Eastern ones for voting en masse for Netanyahu, while the latter feel condescended to.

But the main question is what the world — especially the Americans — and the Palestinians will do. The government's term lasts more than four years, and the status quo with the Palestinians is extremely unlikely to survive that period.

Here's a look at where things might go:

WATCH WASHINGTON

Right now, the Obama administration needs to play nice with Israel as it pursues a nuclear deal with Iran, which is expected to be finalized next month. Israel has criticized the emerging deal and could work with its allies in Congress to hinder President Barack Obama's efforts.

In his first public reaction to the formation of the Israeli government, Obama congratulated Netanyahu, noted the close ties between the two allies and said he was looking forward to working with Israel on the Iranian nuclear issue.

But later this summer, the fundamental antipathy between Obama and Netanyahu could resurface. Obama's statement stressed "the importance of pursuing a two-state solution" with the Palestinians.

That could lead to many things: Obama could propose a peace plan in a bid to force Netanyahu's hand.

A less dramatic but perhaps more effective stick would be to support — or at least not veto — a European-sponsored resolution at the U.N. Security Council, perhaps recognizing a Palestinian state on the Palestinians' terms. France is already working on such a measure.

A third would be to coax the sides into another round of peace talks that would almost certainly be futile in every way except for one — buying time and putting off the outbreak of violence.

Or the United States could let the sides stew and see what comes.

THE PALESTINIANS WON'T WAIT

If the United States steps aside, the ball moves into the Palestinians' court.

Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas opposes violence and has come out against any notion of another armed uprising. But he is 80 years old, has developed an authoritarian streak, and growing increasingly unpopular even in the West Bank.

Under the current arrangement, his Palestinian Authority continues security cooperation with the Israeli army. Israel continues to add settlers, many of them located deep in the territory in a way that appears designed to break up the area into easily controlled pieces.

Palestinian anger over the situation is so fierce that an uprising could potentially break out at any moment, though some Israeli experts consider it unlikely. Others expect Abbas to eventually hand Israel the keys and saddle it with a full — and more costly — occupation. And if Abbas is replaced, all bets are off.

For now, the Palestinians have swiftly condemned the new government. From Ramallah, Palestinian figure Saeb Erekat said it exposes "a new form of racist, discriminatory Israel." The rival Hamas Islamic militant group, which rules Gaza, termed it "radical and dangerous" and called on Arabs to isolate it.

THE PALESTINIANS' NUCLEAR OPTION

For a century, the political discourse has been dominated by talk of partitioning the country between Jewish and Arab states. In that sense, an Israeli pullout from the West Bank, with its millions of Arabs, would strengthen Israel demographically as a Jewish state. There are increasing voices among the Palestinians saying that they should stop playing along with a current policy that in the end does Israel a favor — and instead demand annexation and full rights in Israel.

Israelis will oppose this: An entity formed by Israel, the West Bank and Gaza would today be half-Arab and eventually almost certainly have an Arab majority. But due to Israeli settlement efforts that have made partition difficult, many in the world might back such a Palestinian demand.

A VICTORY THAT IS NOT ALL IT SEEMS

The Zionist left in Israel is these days primarily animated by its fear of such a "one-state solution" — and its leaders are growing increasingly exasperated by their inability to convince enough Israelis of the folly of supporting the right.

They face an uphill climb: Many of Netanyahu's supporters simply despise the left for cultural reasons — in many cases because they are somewhat traditional Jews whose families hail from the Arab world who feel slighted by the European-descended and secular elites who dominate the moderate camp.

Even so, Netanyahu's Likud party only won 30 of 120 seats. The "victory" amounted to an ability to draw support away from other nationalist parties. The addition of all the nationalist and religious allies to a coalition would have only brought Netanyahu to 57 seats, short of a majority in the 120-seat parliament.

So to rule he depends on a centrist party called Kulanu, which claims to be aligned with neither bloc and could bring the government down at any moment.

It is conceivable the opposition Zionist Union may join the coalition eventually. From the left wing opposition's view, the argument for such a move tends to focus on limiting the damage the right wing can inflict. It would also give party leader Isaac Herzog some needed relevance: his party has a history of replacing leaders who languish in opposition.

But new elections within a year or two are also more than possible, especially if convulsions follow with the Palestinians or in Israel's brittle relations with the world.

___

Dan Perry is AP's Middle East editor leading text coverage in the region. Follow him on Twitter at www.twitter.com/perry_dan

Josef Federman is the Associated Press bureau chief in Jerusalem. Follow him on Twitter at www.twitter.com/joseffederman

An AP News Analysis


"Choose a job you love and you will not have to work a day in your life" (Confucius)

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Luis Miguel Goitizolo

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RE: ARE WE NOW IN THE END TIMES?
5/8/2015 10:41:41 AM

Arrests of Palestinian students over politics worrying: HRW

AFP

"It is deeply worrying that students are being held by Palestinian forces for no apparent reason other than their connection to Hamas or their opinions," said Sarah Leah Whitson (pictured), HRW's Middle East and North Africa director (AFP Photo/Karim Jaafar)

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Ramallah (Palestinian Territories) (AFP) - Human Rights Watch on Thursday accused the Palestinian security forces of arresting or questioning West Bank students over their political opinions, saying several had been mistreated.

"It is deeply worrying that students are being held by Palestinian forces for no apparent reason other than their connection to Hamas or their opinions," said Sarah Leah Whitson, HRW's Middle East and North Africa director.

"Palestinians should be able to express critical political opinions without being arrested or beaten," she said a statement.

Citing prisoner rights group Addameer, HRW said 25 students had been arrested in the wake of the annual student council vote at Birzeit University near Ramallah on April 22.

The vote, which takes place at universities across the West Bank, pits Fatah-supporting students against those backing the rival Islamist Hamas movement, with the poll in Birzeit won by Hamas.

In the West Bank, Fatah is the dominant political power, while Hamas's political power base is in the Gaza Strip.

Three days after the vote, the security forces arrested Jihad Salim, a representative of a Hamas-affiliated student group at Birzeit, and held him for about 24 hours, during which time he was beaten while being questioned about the elections.

- 'Arrests for inciting violence' -

"They started cursing my mother, cursing my sisters, slapping me around. Then they punched me, while asking questions about how Hamas won the elections," he told the watchdog.

Three days after that, Ayman Abu Aram, a former member of the same group, was also held for 24 hours and quizzed about his relationship with Hamas, his lawyer said.

On April 30, Musab Zalum, another Hamas-affiliated student said the security forces had raided his house, but he was not home, forcing him to stay away from both his home and the main university campus.

Questioned by the New York-based watchdog, Adnan Damiri, spokesman for the Palestinian security forces confirmed there had been arrests but denied there was a political motive.

"We never arrest people for their speech or for their political affiliations," he was quoted by the watchdog as saying.

"These people have been arrested for the criminal charge of incitement of sectarian violence and other criminal charges."

In November 2014, Ayman Mahariq, a journalism student at Al-Quds University, was arrested and beaten for posting remarks critical of the security forces on Facebook. He is facing criminal charges in a trial which will begin on June 8.

And in January, Bara al-Qadi, another media student at Birzeit, was arrested over remarks on Facebook criticising the Palestinian Authority. He is facing charges for "insulting a public official" in a trial which will begin on June 10, HRW said.

"Choose a job you love and you will not have to work a day in your life" (Confucius)

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Luis Miguel Goitizolo

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RE: ARE WE NOW IN THE END TIMES?
5/8/2015 10:53:50 AM

Ukraine's Poroshenko slams 'appeasement' of Moscow

AFP

(From L-R) President of the European Council Donald Tusk, Ukraine President Petro Poroshenko, Polish President Bronislaw Komorowski and UN Secretary General Ban Ki-moon attend a panel debate on the legacy of World War II in Gdansk on May 7, 2015 (AFP Photo/Janek Skarzynski)

Gdansk (Poland) (AFP) - Ukrainian President Petro Poroshenko on Thursday criticised what he termed a policy of appeasement towards Russia in the context of the separatist conflict in Ukraine's east.

"Crimes are committed today in the 21st century amid the aggression against my country Ukraine, despite the cruelest lessons of the past," Poroshenko said in the Polish port city of Gdansk.

He was speaking at ceremonies marking the 70th anniversary of the end of World War II that were attended by leaders including UN Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon and EU President Donald Tusk.

"Astonishingly, we see attempts to appease the attackers," he continued, without specifying the events or people responsible for the policy.

Poroshenko also slammed Russia's upcoming May 9 World War II victory parade in Moscow as a "parade of cynicism".

"The European Union is facing the most difficult challenge in its history," Poroshenko said. "A test of its unity, its solidarity, its fundamental principles."

Europe and the United States have slapped the toughest sanctions since the Cold War on Moscow over allegations that it is behind the separatist rebellion in eastern Ukraine.

The country's warring parties tried to shore up a faltering truce deal Wednesday after Kiev said five soldiers were killed in clashes in the war-torn east.

The move came as US Defense Secretary Ashton Carter told lawmakers in Washington on Wednesday that pro-Russian separatists appeared to be making preparations for a fresh offensive.

"Choose a job you love and you will not have to work a day in your life" (Confucius)

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Luis Miguel Goitizolo

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RE: ARE WE NOW IN THE END TIMES?
5/8/2015 3:50:52 PM

Nine months in, Congress mute on Obama’s war against the Islamic State

Olivier Knox


Senate Foreign Relations Committee chairman Bob Corker, left, has sought to rally GOP support for a use-of-force resolution. (Photo: Win McNamee/Getty Images)

Nine months after American bombs first rocked Islamic State targets in the Middle East, a small group of U.S. lawmakers is making what may be their last attempt to get Congress to vote on explicitly authorizing the military campaign. They will have to overcome an unhelpful White House that insists it already has all the authority it needs, a difficult congressional schedule, wary Republican leaders who don’t seem especially keen to put a GOP stamp of approval on President Barack Obama’s war, and a U.S. public that isn’t exactly clamoring for Congress to step in.

From the outside, their odds of success don’t look good.

“The view from the inside doesn’t look much better than the view from the outside,” Rep. Adam Schiff, D-Calif., the top Democrat on the House Intelligence Committee and a tireless advocate for Congress finding its voice on the issue, recently told Yahoo News.

But to those like Schiff who want to see a vote on an Authorization for Use of Military Force (AUMF), it’s a must-have debate about whether Congress will passively accept that the president — any president, including the one chosen in 2016 — can deploy American forces for combat overseas anytime, anyplace, without lawmakers’ input.

Tim Kaine, right, and Adam Schiff have both pressed for Congress to formally authorize force against the Islamic State group. (Photo: Mark Wilson/Getty Images)

“We are now at the end of nine months of a unilateral executive war, and Congress has not said a word about it,” Sen. Tim Kaine, D-Va., told Yahoo News in an interview on Wednesday. “It creates such a horrible precedent.”

Senate Foreign Relations Committee members of both parties have been sharing legislative language that they hope will help overcome resistance from Democrats and Republicans alike to the draft AUMF Obama sent to Congress. They aim to forge a bipartisan consensus that reflects the broad national agreement on the need to take on the Islamic State, also known as ISIL and ISIS.

“We have begun those conversations,” Senate Foreign Relations Committee Chairman Bob Corker, R-Tenn., told Yahoo News by telephone Thursday. But he warned against moving forward with legislation that could not command broad bipartisan support. “Right now, I don’t think there’s anybody who thinks the U.S. is divided on ISIS … I don’t want a vote to show division in our country,” he said.

Kaine, who has argued for a formal AUMF vote since mid-2014, told Yahoo News that “the worst thing is to do nothing, and the close-second worst thing is doing this in a partisan way.”

There is bipartisan agreement on two things at least. First, the AUMF proposal Obama grudgingly submitted six months after the fighting began can’t pass in its current form. Second, the White House has washed its hands of the debate.

“The president isn’t opposed to an AUMF; he just doesn’t care about it. He’s not going to lift his little finger to do anything about it,” Corker charged.

Asked on May 1 what the administration would do to help pass Obama’s AUMF, White House press secretary Josh Earnest told reporters, “I think we’ve done just about everything that is imaginable that an executive branch can do to try to move a law through the Congress.” He went on to accuse Congress of having been “essentially AWOL,” the military acronym for “absent without leave.”

Demonstrators chant pro-Islamic State slogans and wave the group’s flags in front of the provincial government headquarters in Mosul, Iraq, last June. (Photo: AP)

The White House attempt to pin the blame on lawmakers annoys congressional Republicans and Democrats alike. They note that, from the start of the strikes against the Islamic State group, Obama has said he doesn’t need a new AUMF, arguing that the new campaign is legal under the 2001 AUMF that underpins the entire war on terrorism. Over the next few months, the White House said, it was up to Congress to take the lead on an AUMF, even though historically most such legislation emerges from the administration.

In a press conference immediately after Democrats lost control of the Senate in the November midterm elections, Obama said he would welcome an AUMF, but that it could wait until 2015, when Republicans would control both houses of Congress. In January, he said he would send up an AUMF. He finally did so on Feb. 11. Top officials have lobbied Congress to pass the measure as is, but offered no substantive changes to try to win over reluctant lawmakers.

“It’s no wonder why we’re nowhere on this subject,” a Senate Democratic aide told Yahoo News.

In the end, Obama’s AUMF reflected his national security aides’ desire that it not tie his hands. The document authorizes airstrikes in Iraq and Syria over the next three years. It forbids the use of American ground troops in “enduring offensive ground combat operations” — a deliberately vague term. It also allows strikes against “individuals and organizations fighting for, on behalf of, or alongside ISIL” anywhere in the world.

Democrats have balked at endorsing such an open-ended approach and want clearer limits, notably on the use of U.S. ground forces.

“They want to make sure that if a Republican president is elected — or a president they feel is more hawkish, on either side of the aisle — we don’t end up in major ground combat operations,” said Corker.

For months, Republicans have said that they dislike the expiration date, and view a vote for the AUMF as a vote for Obama’s approach — essentially a recipe for sharing the political price if something goes wrong.

“They see an AUMF as buying into a strategy that they don’t believe is going to bear fruit,” Corker said.

Secretary of State John Kerry, center, and Defense Secretary Chuck Hagel listen as President Barack Obama speaks about the Islamic State group in February at the White House. (Photo: Jacquelyn Martin/AP)

In late April, Republican House Speaker John Boehner said he wouldn’t support an AUMF “until the president gets serious about an overarching strategy to take on the terrorist threat.”

Corker declined to spell out his thinking on ways to bridge the gaps.

But Kaine told Yahoo News that one compromise floating around the Senate Foreign Relations Committee would be to require regular administration reports to Congress on “benchmarks and strategy,” including how U.S. ground troops are being used and what military operations are taking place in Syria.

An aide to another Democrat on the committee told Yahoo News that senators are looking at modifying the president’s AUMF with “a requirement that the administration report to Congress on its political/diplomatic objectives, specific military objectives, benchmarks, and an end goal and strategy, etc.

“The strategy requirement is a priority for Republicans now,” the aide said.

It’s not clear whether this would win over GOP support. Corker said he would keep his own counsel until the private back-and-forth has yielded “fully baked” ideas.

Kaine said the key was for the committee to produce a bipartisan compromise. “Then there’s a bill on the floor, and you can argue with those who oppose it: ‘Why? You’re not against ISIL?’ or ‘You think the president can do whatever he wants?’”

Senate passage is hardly a sure thing, in part because the chamber’s packed spring schedule does not leave much room for tackling such a difficult and divisive issue. And success there would still set the stage for a fight in the House of Representatives.

“There is overwhelming support for a military effort against ISIL,” said Schiff. “It should not be beyond the Congress’s competence to shape that in a way that enjoys majority support.”

Still, in a break from his Senate colleagues, Schiff said he would be OK with an AUMF that passes with “the bulk of one party” and “a smattering” of the other. “Sitting on our hands is just not an option,” he said.

“We just have to continue to keep the pressure up and not let this issue fade from view,” Schiff added. “We’re setting a horrendous precedent for the future and really shirking our constitutional duty.”

"Choose a job you love and you will not have to work a day in your life" (Confucius)

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