When thinking about
how to extract maximal value from our good hands, our minds usually
turn towards aggressive play. We think about the bet amount that will
yield the highest possible profits. Against passive opponents, this
instinct to bet is usually correct. Against aggressive opponent, it
can cost you money.
Don’t Deter
Aggressive Opponents
Some opponents pounce
on any signs of weakness. Check the turn to them after betting the flop,
and they will bet into you. Some of them will call you with absolutely
nothing on the flop with the intention of bluffing on the turn or the
river–especially when scare cards hit. However, if you continually show
aggression, these opponents will fold.
Your aggressive
opponents will bet with a much larger range of hands than they will
call with. When you have monster hands, trap these opponents for lots
of chips by raising the bets you induce from them. When you have good
(but vulnerable) hands like top-pair-top-kicker, simply call these opponents
down.
Think of
Value Betting in Position on the River
To consider why
check-calling with good (but vulnerable) hands can sometimes be optimal,
let’s think about when to bet in position on the river. When you’re
last to act on the river and a single opponent has checked to you, a
good value bet is one which will be called by a worse hand more than
half of the time. Your opponents’ calling distribution determines the
efficacy of a value bet.
Extending this line
of thought, to determine how to get the most value out of your hands,
simply weigh your opponents’ calling distributions versus their betting
distributions. Viewing things through this filter, it becomes clear
that:
1.)
You get value by playing aggressively against passive opponents because
their calling distributions are much wider than their betting distributions
2.) You get value by playing passively against aggressive
opponents because their betting distributions are much wider than their
calling distributions
Playing passively
may result in you having to make some tricky decisions, but when it
comes down to it, it’s all about playing the distribution match-ups.
Provided that your read on your opponents’ betting and calling distributions
are accurate, you’ll come out ahead in the long run.
Everything
Is Situational
Of course, you shouldn’t
always be aggressive against passive opponents, and you shouldn’t always
be passive against aggressive opponents. As long as you realize that
“calling for value” is a valid line of play, you’ll be fine. See beyond
the tight-aggressive rhetoric from the pundits, and realize that passive
play can be just as much of a weapon as aggressive play. The keys, as
always, are using the right weapon for the right job and having a logically
defined reason for every action you take.
Tony
Guerrera is the author of Killer
Poker By The Numbers. Visit him online at http://www.killerpokerbythenumbers.com