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Luis Miguel Goitizolo

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RE: ARE WE NOW IN THE END TIMES?
11/9/2016 11:01:35 AM

Massive energy blackout in Murmansk, Russia after reported blast at power station (VIDEOS)

Edited time: 8 Nov, 2016 17:52


The northern Russian port city of Murmansk, with a population of 300,000, has been partly left without electricity following an emergency at an energy facility. Eyewitnesses captured a bright flash, after which the lights went out.
There have been eyewitnesses' reports of a "huge blast" at one of the city's electrical substations, according to SeverPost news agency.

Emergency services are working at the scene, the agency said, adding that there have so far been no official comments from rescue teams.

There is apparently no electricity in government headquarters in the city center, FlashNord reported citing its correspondent in the area. Lights have been off in both central areas and in the outskirts, according to SeverPost.

An incident happened at one of the facilities of the Kolenergo regional energy company, its press service told RT, without specifying what exactly happened.

The causes of the "incident" are now being investigated by a special commission, the company said, adding that specialists are now working on damage control and recovery.

"Not the whole city has been left without electricity, but only its smaller part," the company spokesperson added.

A source in the local emergency services told RT firefighters were dealing with the incident and there was no further threat to civilians. There is no panic in the city, a local official said.

Murmansk, located in the extreme northwest of Russia, is the world's largest city north of the Arctic Circle. Built on the coast of an ice-free bay of the Barents Sea in the Arctic Ocean, Murmansk is one of Russia's largest sea ports. All of the country's nuclear-powered icebreakers are based in the city.


(RT)

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Luis Miguel Goitizolo

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RE: ARE WE NOW IN THE END TIMES?
11/9/2016 2:41:04 PM

World gasps in collective disbelief following Trump's election



Around the globe, right-wing leaders reacted to the victory of Republican President-elect Donald Trump with joy, while some expats and politicians expressed dismay and anxiety for international relations. (Jenny Starrs/The Washington Post)

The world gasped in collective disbelief on Wednesday following the victory of Donald Trump in the U.S. presidential race, with apprehensive allies seeking to put a brave face on a result they had dreaded and American adversaries exulting in an outcome they see as a potential turning point in global affairs.

Within minutes of Trump's triumph, congratulatory messages poured in from leaders around the world, both friend and foe alike, even as security councils convened emergency meetings and dumbfounded diplomats struggled to understand the implications of Trump's win.

In a Moscow ceremony to welcome new ambassadors, Russian President Vladimir Putin referenced Trump's call for warmer ties and said “Russia is ready and willing to restore full-fledged relations with the United States.” News of the Republican’s victory was greeted with broad smiles and a round of applause in the lower house of the Russian parliament.

U.S. allies insisted that they would work closely with the new administration even as they tried to absorb the outcome.

In China, Russia and Israel we ask people what they think of the election of Donald J. Trump as the 45th president of the United States. We’ll update this video as more voices come in. (Jason Aldag/The Washington Post)

In Britain — where the Parliament earlier this year debated banning Trump from even visiting — Prime Minister Theresa May said her nation and the United States had “an enduring and special relationship based on the values of freedom, democracy and enterprise.”

Turkish President Reçep Tayyip Erdogan, who had criticized Trump during the presidential campaign for showing intolerance toward Muslims, said that Trump’s victory was a “positive sign” and the “beginning of a new era in the United States.”

But beneath the assurances of business-as-usual, and even optimism in some quarters, was a deep anxiety that Trump's win could fundamentally unsettle the global order.

The terms “shock” and “nightmare,” which were trending on Twitter in Germany, appeared to reflect the sentiment among many observers and politicians in Berlin.

German Defense Minister Ursula von der Leyen called Trump's victory a “severe shock.” She told public TV network ARD: “I think Donald Trump also knows that this wasn't a vote for him, but that it was much more a vote against Washington, against the establishment.”

Concerns were also sharp in Brussels, the headquarters of NATO and the European Union, where Trump had been universally opposed, as well as among key Asian strategic allies such as Japan and South Korea. But China’s state media chortled at how the elections revealed the decline of American democracy.

“The probably most divisive and scandalous election in American history has eroded voters' faith in the two-party system, as many voters called it a game of money, power, and influence,” wrote state-run news agency Xinhua.

Nowhere was the result felt more keenly than in Mexico, as the peso crumbled. As the U.S. election unfolded, a thunderstorm rumbled in Mexico City.

“It feels like our nightmare is here,” tweeted Jorge Guajardo, who was Mexico’s ambassador to China from 2007 to 2013.

Trump’s disdain for Mexican immigrants and his pledges to build a wall along the Mexican border and renegotiate the North American Free Trade Agreement have made him a figure of hate for many Mexicans.

“Mexico will have a very big problem having good relations with him,” said Raul Benitez Manuat, a professor at Mexico’s National Autonomous University. “Mexicans are very nationalistic, and they feel aggrieved by Trump.”

Trump's victory was also deeply concerning to the governments in Japan and South Korea, Washington’s two closest allies in Asia. On the campaign trail, Trump had repeatedly pledged to upend the American military pacts with both countries, saying neither was paying enough for their defense against a nuclear-armed North Korea and a strengthening China.

In Tokyo, financial authorities called an urgent meeting to discuss a fall in the country’s stock market in response to Trump’s strong showing. Prime Minister Shinzo Abe later congratulated Trump on his victory. “Japan and the U.S. are unshakable allies that are firmly tied with universal values such as freedom, democracy, basic human rights and a rule of law,” Abe said in a statement. “I’d like join together with President-elect Trump and work with him on the issues facing the world.”

In Seoul, the presidential office convened an emergency session of its national security council to discuss the election results. The government later released a statement promising that South Korea “will continue to closely cooperate with the next U.S. administration for the peace and prosperity in the Korean Peninsula.”

A Trump victory could heighten tensions between North and South Korea. “The current situation seems like the beginning of the U.S.’s decline and a beginning of the failure of democracy,” said Hasung Jang, a professor of finance at Korea University in Seoul.

Jang also forecast an economic fallout.

“Trump is a protectionist in trade,” said Jang. “Trump’s victory will be a very negative change for South Korea because we have an export-oriented economy. There’s a possibility South Korea will become geopolitically closer to China.”

But others suggested that Trump may not follow through on his rhetoric.

In China, the U.S. ambassador, Max Baucus, argued that the “world’s most important relationship” would remain stable, and he played down Trump’s threat to impose a 45 percent tariff on Chinese goods.

“People say a lot of things in the heat of a campaign that are not quite as feasible as they think when they are elected,” he said.

Other nations that have had rocky relationships with the Obama administration expressed hope for a new beginning.

Egyptian President Abdel Fatah al-Sissi, whose record of imprisoning opponents and restricting free speech has earned him condemnation from human rights groups, said he “looks forward to the presidency of President Donald Trump to inject a new spirit into the trajectory of Egyptian-American relations.”

In a later statement, Sissi's office said the Egyptian president was the first world leader to reach Trump by phone and personally congratulate him.

In Europe, there was never any secret about the continent’s overwhelming preference before the vote. Among major U.S. allies across the Atlantic, leaders spoke openly of their contempt for Trump and their fear of the consequences should he be elected.

Diplomats fretted about the consequences for NATO, which was the target of sharp rhetoric from Trump during the campaign as he questioned the priorities of the military alliance. While the Obama administration has committed a battalion of troops to Eastern Europe to deter a resurgent Russia, Trump has proposed a radically different approach to the Kremlin.

Senior U.S. diplomats moved quickly to assure European partners that nothing would change. But many in the NATO fold were clearly shocked at the results.

“There is a lot of continuity here no matter who wins later this morning,” U.S. Ambassador to NATO Douglas Lute told a mostly European crowd of diplomats and politicians watching the results come in. “NATO has always been a bipartisan venture for the United States.”

European politicians said they would seek to maintain the strongest possible ties with the United States.

Leaders who just a day ago were openly criticizing Trump moved to play nice, recognizing that they had no choice but to work with the new American leader.

“It wasn’t what we were expecting,” said David McAllister, a German lawmaker who is the head of the European Parliament’s delegation to the United States. “We Europeans need the Americans to guarantee our security, and we have a huge interest in transatlantic relations.”

Some Europeans even tried to find commonalities between Trump's message and their own.

“I’m looking forward to meeting President-elect Trump, to sit down with him and discuss the way forward,” said NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg, who had repeatedly said that NATO decision-making was not being influenced by Trump’s sharply critical approach to the alliance. In reaction to Trump’s calls for more cooperation with the Kremlin, Stoltenberg said that “for NATO there is no contradiction between political dialogue with Russia and strong deterrence and defense.”

Amid the gritted-teeth statements of mainstream European leaders, there was also cheering from the continent's far right. Britain voted to leave the European Union over the summer, and far-right parties are surging in France and Germany.

“The people are taking their country back. So will we,” wrote Geert Wilders, the leader of a Dutch Euroskeptic party who has pushed for hard barriers against immigration.

In France, Marie Le Pen, the outspoken leader of France’s far-right National Front party, did not wait for the results to be announced before tweeting:“Congratulations to new president of the United States Donald Trump and to the American people, free!”

Trump’s win was immediately seen as possible harbinger of a far-right victory in France's upcoming 2017 presidential election, which analysts now say could represent a third chapter in a string of stunning populist upheavals.

“It’s a divine surprise for the National Front,” said Dominique Moïsi, a co-founder of the French Institute for International Relations. “Suddenly the possibility that after Brexit and after Trump there could be Marine Le Pen is striking the French.”

Florian Philippot, Le Pen’s most senior strategist, tweeted: “Their world is collapsing. Ours is being built.”

To many in Britain, Trump's victory was stunning — but also familiar, coming as it did less than five months after the country voted to leave the European Union.

“Trump said himself that his election would be 'Brexit plus plus' and he was right,” said Thomas Roulet, a management professor at King's College London. “The result is as surprising as the Brexit one and same as for Brexit the vote for Trump is a vote against the establishment.”

The Israeli right quickly seized upon the Trump victory. Jerusalem Mayor Nir Barkat cheered “mazal tov, Mr. President!” and then reminded Trump that he had promised to move the U.S. Embassy from Tel Aviv to Jerusalem. The United States does not recognize Jerusalem as Israel’s capital, awaiting instead a final resolution of a negotiated settlements between Israel and the Palestinians.

The leader of Israel’s Jewish Home party, the education minister Naftali Bennett, said that Trump’s win “is an opportunity to immediately retract the notion of a Palestinian state in the center of the country, which would hurt our security and just cause.”

“The era of the Palestinian state is over,” Bennett said.

From the Palestinian side, a leader of the Palestine Liberation Organization, Saeb Erekat, reminded Trump that two-state solution to the conflict here had been a policy of all previous U.S. administrations, Republican and Democrat.

In India, supporters of Hindu nationalist Prime Minister Narendra Modi took delight in the collective failure of liberal intellectuals, the media and pollsters to predict the outcome or gauge the public mood.

“Fearmongering has begun. Recall dire predictions of riots and plague if Modi won 2014 race? Libbies are such sore losers,”tweeted political analyst Kanchan Gupta.

In the Philippines, the mood was somber at the U.S. Embassy’s election party in Manila, with a crowd of Filipino Americans and students eager to study in the United States expressing fear, shock and disappointment.

“The U.S. is known as a country for immigrants, as the land of the free, but he wants to build a wall,” said Carlos Llamas, a 19-year-old college junior studying consular and diplomatic affairs. “As president you are chief diplomat for your country, but he doesn’t act like that.”

Classmate Bria Tamayao, 18, wondered how two men known for posturing and tough talk — Trump and Philippine President Rodrigo Duterte — could work together.

“I don’t know what will happen to the Philippines and the United States,” she said. “This kind of unpredictable behavior is not good for the world.”

In Iraq, Kurdish and Iraqi forces are more than three weeks into their battle against Islamic State militants in the northern city of Mosul, an operation heavily reliant on the military support of the United States, and the prospect of a Trump presidency has caused some nervousness.

But it has also generated hopes of a firmer hand. Maj. Gen. Najim Jabouri, a top Iraqi military commander for the Mosul operation, said he believes that Trump will be “tougher” on the militant group, also known as ISIS, than Clinton would have been.

“ISIS don’t need a soft hand,” he said. “He will fight them more strongly than we have before. We need a strong hand to destroy them.”

On another war front, Afghan President Ashraf Ghani and Chief Executive Abdullah Abdullah issued statements congratulating Trump, who will face decisions over U.S. military units aiding in the fight about the Taliban and other militant factions.

Ghani noted that the U.S. government is “an essential and important strategic partner” in Afghanistan’s development and fight against terrorism.”

Denyer reported from Beijing. Joshua Partlow in Mexico City, Michael Birnbaum in Brussels, Loveday Morris in Irbil, Iraq, Erin Cunningham in Istanbul, Emily Rauhala in Manila, Rama Lakshmi in New Delhi, Yuki Oda in Tokyo, Yoonjung Seo in Seoul, and Congcong Zhang, Luna Lin and Jin Xin in Beijing, Stephanie Kirchner in Berlin, Sudarsan Raghavan in Cairo, Pamela Constable in Kabul, William Booth in Irbil, Iraq, and Louisa Loveluck in Beirut contributed to this report.


(The Washington Post)


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Luis Miguel Goitizolo

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RE: ARE WE NOW IN THE END TIMES?
11/9/2016 4:57:29 PM
Markets plunge worldwide as Trump surges to the White House



World financial markets fell steeply as Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump's lead widened on election night. (Jenny Starrs/The Washington Post)


Global financial markets convulsed Tuesday night as Donald Trump was projected to claim victory in the race for the White House after a polarizing campaign that investors had largely bet against.

On Wall Street, all three major stock indices were down 4 percent or more late Tuesday evening in pre-market trading, with futures for the Dow Jones industrial average sliding more than 700 points at one point before paring those losses in the minutes before the results were clear. Futures trading was temporarily halted for the Standard & Poor's 500-stock index amid a 5 percent loss. By morning they had regained some ground.

The Mexican peso -- which has fallen as the Republican nominee rose in the polls during his campaign -- nosedived to an eight-year low, according to Bloomberg. The panic stretched all the way to Asia, where Japan’s Nikkei index plunged more than 900 points, or 5.4 percent, early Wednesday morning. In Europe, the Stoxx Europe 600 index was off 0.7 percent after dropping as much as 2.4 percent. In an early flight to safety, gold charged higher. U.S. Treasuries and the yen also surged.

The assumption that Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton would notch a comfortable victory had boosted markets earlier in the week. But on Tuesday night, investors began to grapple with the possibility that Trump's controversial proposals to rip up long-standing trade agreements, deport millions of immigrants and radically re-engineer the tax code could become reality.

“It’s all a little bit crazy now,” said Chris Weston, chief markets strategist at IG Markets in Melbourne. “Pollsters need to go away and have a holiday – every single one of them should be fired. Markets weren’t prepared for this.”

Early on the morning of Nov. 9, Republican President-elect Donald Trump addressed supporters in New York, declaring victory over Democrat Hillary Clinton. Here are key moments from that speech. (Video: Sarah Parnass/Photo: Ricky Carioti/The Washington Post)

The sell-off recalled the volatility following Britain's decision this summer to leave the European Union. Investors had largely dismissed the possibility of a so-called "Brexit" but then quickly reversed course as the votes were counted. That dynamic appeared to be playing out again, with Craig Erlam, senior market analyst for foreign exchange firm Oanda, calling Tuesday's rout simply "a bloodbath."

Among Trump's chief campaign promises has been to pull out of the North American Free Trade Agreement and slap double-digit tariffs on goods from Mexico and China, moves that experts fear could spark a trade war. He also has proposed massive tax cuts for both individuals and corporations that could cost as much as $6 trillion, according to the nonpartisan Tax Policy Center. Though Trump’s message of isolationism has resonated with voters who feel left behind by globalization, many experts have warned his proposals could wreck havoc on the U.S. recovery.

Moody’s Analytics forecast Trump’s policies could lower employment by 3.5 million jobs and raise the unemployment rate to 7 percent by the end of his term. The firm also predicted the nation would enter a recession in 2018.

In addition, investors dialed back their expectations that the Federal Reserve would hike its benchmark interest rate in December. The central bank had hinted it was ready to move following signs of economic resilience, but that could be threatened amid the turbulence in financial markets.

“Trump has not held any public office before and lacks experience of making currency and fiscal policies. He also has extreme views,” said Yang Delong, chief economist at First Seafront Fund in Shenzhen. “All these will be viewed by the investors as huge uncertainty. That’s why the markets are down and the gold price is going up.”

But one of Trump’s most prominent supporters, billionaire Carl Icahn, predicted that the sell-off would be short-lived. Many of Trump's proposals have been lacking in detail, but his campaign has broadly argued that his aggressive stance would help lift the economy out of the doldrums and unleash unprecedented growth that would allow his programs to pay for themselves.

"It's going to cost the rich guys in New York money, and that's too damn bad," Icahn said on CNBC on Tuesday night. "But you have to think about where this country is going to be in the next five, 10 years, and you can't have it going the way it's going."

However, the prospect of a Trump presidency was enough to persuade Mexican leaders to meet last week to craft a “contingency plan” in the event of an “adverse” election result. The head of Mexico’s central bank has compared a President Trump to a “hurricane” that could damage the country’s economy. In addition to hiking tariffs on its exports to the United States, Trump has made building a wall along the Mexican border a hallmark of his campaign. Already, the declining value of the peso has factored into the central bank’s decision to boost interest rates.

“It’s the Pavlovian response: The bell rings, Trump does better, the Mexican [peso] sells off,“ said Ed Shill, chief investment officer at QCI Asset Management.

Meanwhile, the board of South Korea’s stock exchange called an emergency meeting Wednesday morning to discuss the sharp fall in the financial markets.

“We haven’t taken any measures regarding the stock market reaction to the U.S. election yet, but we are constantly monitoring the markets and the U.S. elections,” said Kang Byung-mo, head of financial market analysis at Korea Exchange.

In China, the Communist Party’s China Daily newspaper said that whoever wins, democracy would be the loser in the United States, noting the race was viewed as a “chaotic political farce” in many people’s eyes. European leaders never hid their overwhelming preference in the U.S. vote. Among major U.S. allies across the Atlantic, leaders spoke openly of their contempt for Trump and their fear of the consequence should he be elected.

Protocol normally calls for foreign leaders to maintain strict neutrality in the internal affairs of their allies. But that didn’t stop President Francois Hollande from declaring that some of Trump’s policy positions made him want “to retch.” The British Parliament even debated banning the New York billionaire from its shores.

The exception to the anti-Trump sentiment in Europe came from far-right leaders and other anti-immigration populists.

British Brexit campaigner Nigel Farage cheered Trump’s rise and appeared alongside him at U.S. rallies, urging America to stand up to the establishment in the way that he said the British public had with its E.U. referendum in June. Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban, who built a fence to block migrants amidst the refugee crisis, was among the few governmental leaders in Europe to back Trump.

Early on the morning of Nov. 9, Republican President-elect Donald Trump addressed supporters in New York, declaring victory over Democrat Hillary Clinton. Here are key moments from that speech. (Video: Sarah Parnass/Photo: Ricky Carioti/The Washington Post)

Staff writers Congcong Zhang, Luna Lin and Jin Xin in Beijing, Yoonjung Seo in Seoul and Griff Witte in London contributed to this report.

(The Washington Post)

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Luis Miguel Goitizolo

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RE: ARE WE NOW IN THE END TIMES?
11/9/2016 5:28:10 PM

'FEMINISM TAKES MASSIVE HIT' AS DONALD TRUMP CELEBRATES ELECTION VICTORY: WOMEN'S GROUP

The Fawcett Society tells Newsweek that women across America must be prepared to defend themselves.



Donald Trump’s election victory is a “massive step backwards for women and equality,” according to the U.K.’s largest membership charity for women’s rights.

Sam Smethers, chief executive at the Fawcett Society, tells Newsweek that “women all over America now have to focus on defending their rights and freedoms.”

“We have to ask ourselves how it's possible that someone who bragged aboutsexually assaulting women has become the most powerful politician in the world,” she said.

Trump is now the U.S.’s president-elect, having fought a long and contentious campaign fraught with claims that he is sexist and dangerous to women. The billionaire businessman has referred to women as pigs, slobs and dogs, and claimed his sexual assault accusers are too ugly to have ever warranted unwanted attention from him.

But Trump told voters at the first presidential debate that “nobody has more respect for women than I do.” Now, only time will tell how his views on women’s issues, particularly in regard to his pro-life stance, will fare.


(Newsweek)


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Luis Miguel Goitizolo

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RE: ARE WE NOW IN THE END TIMES?
11/9/2016 5:54:43 PM

MICHAEL RUBIN: THREE TESTS IN THE MIDDLE EAST FOR THE NEW PRESIDENT

Three figures to whom U.S. policy has been geared for years likely will not survive the new administration.

BY ON 11/9/16 AT 12:20 PM


The Cold War Between Saudi Arabia And Iran Is Claiming Many Civilian Lives (watch video)

This article first appeared on the American Enterprise Institute site.

U.S. policy is often dominated by the here and now. But what happens when dominant figures for good or bad are suddenly no longer on the scene?

That’s probably going to be a challenge that will confront the next administration and throw long-held policy assumptions into doubt.

Here are three figures to whom Washington has geared policy for years who likely will not survive the next administration:

Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei

Khamenei has served as Iran’s supreme leader (and, as far as the Iranian regime is concerned, the deputy of the Messiah on earth) since 1989, but the 77-year-old ayatollah has recently battled cancer and is reputed to be in ill health. That he allowed himself to be photographed in the hospital signaled Iranians that they should be prepared for a transition and that his health crisis was not merely something that could be swept under the rug.

What comes next? In theory, the 86-member Assembly of Experts picks the new supreme leader, but, in reality, they are little more than a coffee klatch that rubber stamps a decision made by influential powerbrokers and faction heads.

So who might come next? Council on Foreign Relations scholar Ray Takeyh hassuggested it could be Ibrahim Raisi, a hard-liner. Other scholars might argue that Khamenei’s successor would likely be a weaker, more run-of-the-mill ayatollah since no one else would get buy-in from all factions.

Takeyh is probably right, however, in the notion that the new supreme leader will trend far more hard-line than even Khamenei did after his selection. The difference between now and 1989 is that the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps is far better resourced and powerful (thanks, Secretary of State John Kerry!). They will never subordinate themselves to someone who they see as weak and too flexible.

Is the West prepared for an even more radical and ideological supreme leader? Of course, there’s another possibility: Nothing requires the leadership to be an individual; it’s always possible that absent a consensus, a council of leadership will emerge with multiple ayatollahs representing the major factions.

This might create an entirely new dynamic but again one not favorable to the West as, when the factional competition gets too fierce, bad things happen as hard-liners seize hostages and sponsor terrorism in order to prove their dominance and purity.

Grand Ayatollah Ali Sistani

As corrosive as Khamenei has been to international peace and the reputation of Shiite globally, Sistani has been the opposite. In every crisis, Sistani has worked to repair crises and calm passions rather than inflame them. He has regularly reached across the sectarian divide and condemned terrorism.

When Sunni terrorists blew up the Al-Askari shrine in Samarra in 2006, Sistani forbade any reprisals. But when the Islamic State group (ISIS) seized the overwhelmingly Sunni city of Mosul, he called for volunteers to help the city; hundreds of Shiites willingly gave their lives in answer to him.

But what happens when Sistani passes away? It’s a subject of conversation in Najaf and Karbala. Few locals believe the other three resident Grand Ayatollahs will rise to the stature of Sistani, though.

In 1994, when Grand Ayatollah Araki passed away, Khamenei tried to suggest that he would now be the sole “source of emulation,” but was basically laughed off the stage as his religious credentials barely qualify him to be an ayatollah.

Khamenei has been maneuvering to impose the 68-year-old former Iranian Judiciary Chief Mahmoud Hashemi Shahroudi upon Najaf. Iraqis say local Shiites wouldn’t accept Shahroudi and would likely favor one of Sistani’s prominent students but what might a fight mean?

Again, nothing requires a single source of emulation—historically, there have been many–but if there is a crisis, would any successor have the stature to restore calm and promote peace as Sistani has done?


A boy near a poster of Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas in the West Bank village of Beit Furiq near Nablus, on November 15, 2009. Michael Rubin writes that whoever succeeds Abbas must face the fact that Palestine is a failed entity, with Hamas controlling the Gaza Strip.
MOHAMAD TOROKMAN/REUTERS

Mahmoud Abbas

The 81-year-old Palestinian Authority president is currently serving the 12th year of his four-year presidential term. Unlike Yasser Arafat before him, Abbas refuses to appoint a successor. So what happens when he dies?

Muhammad Dahlan, the former head of Arafat’s and Abbas’s Fatah political party in Gaza, is a name often floated, but he wouldn’t be a shoo-in or unopposed. Nasser al-Kidwa, Arafat’s nephew, is another possibility.

The United States and Europe like Salam Fayyad, the former finance minister.Marwan Barghouti, a Palestinian politician serving time in an Israeli prison for terrorism and murder, is popular among many Palestinians but it is unlikely Israel would release a man serving five life sentences.

One thing is clear: Any Palestinian aspirant would likely only consolidate his power upon the corpses of his rivals. Palestine is already a failed entity, with Hamas controlling the Gaza Strip.

If the West Bank collapses, that would change fundamental assumptions which have been enough to keep what little peace process there is on life support. It also might provide an opening for Hamas or other radical groups (think ISIS) to make inroads.

Michael Rubin is a resident scholar at the American Enterprise Institute. A former Pentagon official, his major research areas are the Middle East, Turkey, Iran and diplomacy.


(Newsweek)


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