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Luis Miguel Goitizolo

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RE: ARE WE NOW IN THE END TIMES?
4/30/2014 5:49:12 PM

Ban All the Banks: Here’s the Wild Idea People are Seriously Starting to Talk About


banks 1

Still from It’s A Wonderful Life

Thanks to Kat.

By Joe Weisenthal, Bsuiness Insider - April 28, 2014 - http://tinyurl.com/lad3v4g

Economists have begun seriously discussing the idea of banning banks. That seems ridiculous and far-fetched, but the idea might not be as crazy as it sounds.

But before we get to the idea, there’s something important that needs to be addressed, which is that people tend to have a gross misconception about what a bank does.

The typical person probably thinks about a bank the way it’s depicted in the movie It’s A Wonderful Life.

In the scene below, George Bailey’s savings and loan is being caught up in a run on the banks. Bailey is forced to explain to the depositors that their money isn’t in the vaults because it’s been loaned out. He then points to some people in the crowd who have taken out mortgages from the bank, explaining how that’s where people’s deposits have gone.


But actually that’s not how banks work.

How Do Banks Work?

The reality is that banks don’t make loans out of existing deposits. When a bank gives you a mortgage (or any other loan) it doesn’t go into its vaults to see if there’s cash available that someone else has deposited. Instead, the bank digitally (almost like magic) credits your account with the amount you need to pay for the home.

The Bank of England recently published a fantastic paper titled Money Creation In The Modern Economy (.pdf) that explains that banks — rather than serving as an intermediary between depositors and borrowers — are in the business of creating money. Here’s the basic summary of how it works:

bank overview

Essentially, modern banking represents the outsourcing of money creation from the Federal Government to the banking system.

Of course, there are limits on how much money banks can create (some of the limits stem from regulation, some stem from monetary policy, and some stem from the market itself). But still, most money creation comes from banks.

The new talk is that banks should be banned from creating money, and that the government would take it over.

Why change the current system?

Ever since the crisis, there’s been on ongoing discussion about how to make the financial system safer.

The recent debate really kicked off when FT columnist Marin Wolf called for stripping banks of their right to create money. His argument was that allowing banks to create money ex-nihilo is what is responsible for destabilizing credit bubbles and busts. People expect that their money is safe, and so when banks make too many risky loans, the government is forced to step in and backstop everything. If the government is going to have to end up backstopping everything as it is, why not have the government be the source of money creation?

Wolf wants banks to just be depository and payment institutions. Just straight up utilities without the ability to create money.

As Amin Mian and Amir Sufi note on their blog House of Debt, the same idea (roughly) was recently advanced by Chicago economist John Cochrane (.pdf).

That being said, the idea is extremely old.

Mian and Sufi link to a 1939 proposal — spearheaded by the famous economist Irving Fisher — which sought to recreate a more stable banking system in the wake of the Great Depression. That paper spoke extensively about the need to prevent banks from creating money.

From that paper comes a stern warning about how the modern banking system is a “loose screw” in the American banking system, and that banks had too much power to create money.

banks 2That paper explained that banks would still be able to act as lending intermediaries. For example, deposit accounts such as CDs (where the depositor was limited in how quickly they could get their money back) would be a legitimate source of loanable funds.

In his paper on getting banks out of the creation of money, John Cochrane argues that banks could still be in the business of originating mortgages and loans, but that they could be financed by other authorities. Or there could be lending institutions that are 100% financed by equity and debt (not by deposits) thus insuring that those institutions not need a bailout.

banks 3Will this happen?

Probably not.

In his piece on the subject, Martin Wolf says it will probably take another crisis before something like this is discussed:

Our financial system is so unstable because the state first allowed it to create almost all the money in the economy and was then forced to insure it when performing that function. This is a giant hole at the heart of our market economies. It could be closed by separating the provision of money, rightly a function of the state, from the provision of finance, a function of the private sector. This will not happen now. But remember the possibility. When the next crisis comes — and it surely will — we need to be ready.

There are also some big objections to the idea.

In a blog post titled Is A Banking Ban The Answer? Paul Krugman points out one big problem with Wolf’s piece, which is that what might happen is simply more financial activity happening outside the banking system, into the less regulated shadow banking system. Krugman also raises questions of complexity, and whether the problem runs even deeper than financial stability (given that financial stability was restored in fairly short order once the government decided to make that a priority).

What Else?

The IMF did a report in 2012 on the 1939 Chicago Plan, which is useful background reading. Matthew Klein also wrote a great piece for Bloomberg View last year on killing banking as we know it by imposing 100% capital requirements (ending fractional reserve banking).

Again, this isn’t going to happen, but it’s useful when thinking about the nature of money to realise that money creation is something that’s been outsourced to the banks, and that to have the government be the prime creator of money would be radical departure from the current system.


"Choose a job you love and you will not have to work a day in your life" (Confucius)

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Luis Miguel Goitizolo

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RE: ARE WE NOW IN THE END TIMES?
5/1/2014 12:22:55 AM

GOP senators: Arm Ukraine, hit Russian banks

Olivier Knox, Yahoo News Yahoo News

A pro-Russian gunman prepares his weapon as his comrades are about to storm a regional police station building in Luhansk, Ukraine, one of the largest cities in Ukraine's troubled east, Tuesday, April 29, 2014, as demonstrators demand greater autonomy for Ukraine's regions. The action on Tuesday further raises tensions in the east, where insurgents have seized control of police stations and other government buildings in at least 10 cities and towns. (AP Photo)


Saying President Barack Obama hasn’t been tough enough on Russia, a high-powered group of Republican senators introduced legislation on Wednesday aimed at imposing new sanctions on Moscow over its actions in Ukraine.

“Rather than react to events as they unfold, which has been the policy of this administration, we need to inflict more direct consequences on Russia prior to Vladimir Putin taking additional steps that will be very difficult to undo,” said Bob Corker of Tennessee, the top GOP member of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, who drafted the measure.

The congressional push for a harder line on Russia comes with Obama set to welcome German Chancellor Angela Merkel, one of his key partners on Ukraine, to the White House on Friday.

Republican Sen. Dan Coats, a former ambassador to Germany and current Senate Intelligence Committee member, will have dinner with Merkel on Thursday and is expected to press her to get Europe to agree on a tougher response to the crisis.

“The lack of a forceful, effective response by the administration and Western leaders has given Putin little reason to expect that further aggression will be punished,” said Coats, who pressed Obama to back Corker’s bill.

“If he is willing to lead by taking action that demonstrates American disapproval of Russia’s actions, I am confident that a bipartisan majority in Congress will stand with him,” the Indiana lawmaker said.

Republican Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell backed the bill, as did Republican Sens. John McCain of Arizona, Kelly Ayotte of New Hampshire, John Cornyn of Texas, John Barrasso of Wyoming, Marco Rubio of Florida, John Hoeven of North Dakota and David Vitter of Louisiana.

The legislation is unlikely to attract support from the Obama administration, which has sent symbolic military support to skittish NATO allies and imposed sanctions on Russian officials and companies but held back on measures expected to damage the economy of Europe, one of Russia’s biggest trading partners.

“We are reserving the most severe sanctions for the potentially most severe action by Russia should Russia chose to engage in it, and the most severe sanctions economically would be sanctioning sectors of the economy,” said Obama spokesman Jay Carney.

U.S. officials have said that Washington and Europe are in talks about how to impose sanctions targeting entire sectors of Russia’s economy if Putin follows up his country's annexation of the strategic Crimean Peninsula by ordering troops into eastern Ukraine.

“There is a conversation about possible counterbalancing and compensatory measures for those states who might have to take it on the chin more if and when sectoral sanctions come on,” one senior official told reporters on a recent conference call.

The bill provides for sharply expanded U.S. and NATO support for the militaries of Poland, Estonia, Lithuania and Latvia, according to a summary provided to Yahoo News.

It also calls for Obama to accelerate and expand American missile defense systems in Eastern Europe — something Russia fiercely opposes.

Notably, the legislation would expand existing economic sanctions by taking aim at four major Russian banks — Sberbank, VTB Bank, VEB Bank and Gazprombank.

And it would for the first time impose sweeping sanctions on Russia’s energy sector, including the giant Gazprom firm, which provides about 30 percent of Europe’s natural gas. Other energy firms in the bill’s cross hairs include Novatek and Rosneft. The large Russian arms export firm Rosoboronexport would also face new sanctions.

If Russian armed forces push into eastern Ukraine, the legislation would “essentially cut all senior Russian officials, their companies, and their supporters off from the world’s financial system,” according to the summary.

“In addition, tough sanctions would target any Russian entities in the arms, defense, energy, financial services, metals, or mining sectors that has ownership by the Russian Government or any other sanctioned individual or entity. Additional sanctions would also cut Russian banks off from the U.S. banking system,” the document said.

The measure calls for $100 million in direct military aid to Ukraine, including anti-tank and anti-aircraft weapons and small arms, and urges greater intelligence sharing.

And it would give Ukraine, Moldova and Georgia the status of “major non-NATO ally,” which can facilitate U.S. arms sales.

Related video


GOP senators introduce new Russia sanctions bill


Republicans draft a measure that calls for penalties that take aim at four major Russian banks. $100 million in military aid to Ukraine

"Choose a job you love and you will not have to work a day in your life" (Confucius)

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Luis Miguel Goitizolo

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RE: ARE WE NOW IN THE END TIMES?
5/1/2014 10:48:27 AM
After the horror execution

Okla. Gov. calls for review of execution protocol

Associated Press


White House spokesman Jay Carney says a botched execution of a death row inmate in Oklahoma fell short of the humane standards required when the death penalty is carried out. (April 30)


OKLAHOMA CITY (AP) — Oklahoma Gov. Mary Fallin named a member of her Cabinet on Wednesday to lead a review of the state's execution protocols after a botched procedure that the White House said fell short of the humane standards required.

Fallin said Clayton Lockett, who had an apparent heart attack 43 minutes after the start of an execution in which the state was using a new drug combination for the first time, had his day in court.

"I believe the death penalty is an appropriate response and punishment to those who commit heinous crimes against their fellow men and women," Fallin said. "However, I also believe the state needs to be certain of its protocols and its procedures for executions and that they work."

Lockett convulsed violently and tried to lift his head after a doctor declared him unconscious, and prison officials halted the execution. Fallin said "an independent review of the Department of Corrections procedures would be effective and also appropriate."

The governor said the review, to be led by Department of Public Safety Commissioner Michael Thompson, will focus on Lockett's cause of death, noting that the Oklahoma State Medical Examiner has authorized an independent pathologist to make that determination. The review will also look at whether the department followed the current protocol correctly and will also include recommendations for future executions.

Fallin also said a stay for Charles Warner, who had been scheduled to die two hours after Lockett, is in place until May 13. She said Warner's execution will be further delayed if the independent review is not complete by then.

Warner's attorney immediately raised objections to the investigation being led by a member of Fallin's cabinet.

"I don't consider that to be an independent investigation," said attorney Madeline Cohen.

Lockett, 38, had been declared unconscious 10 minutes after the first of three drugs in the state's new lethal injection combination was administered Tuesday evening. Three minutes later, he began breathing heavily, clenching his teeth and straining to lift his head. Officials later blamed a ruptured vein for the problems with the execution, which are likely to fuel more debate about the ability of states to administer lethal injections that meet the U.S. Constitution's requirement they be neither cruel nor unusual punishment.

The blinds eventually were lowered to prevent those in the viewing gallery from watching what was happening in the death chamber, and the state's top prison official later called a halt to the proceedings. Lockett died of a heart attack shortly thereafter, the Department of Corrections said.

Most executions in Oklahoma, which used different fast-acting barbiturates, were completed and the inmate declared dead within about 10 minutes of the start of the procedure.

In Washington, White House spokesman Jay Carney said President Barack Obama believes that evidence suggests the death penalty does little to deter crime, but that some crimes are so heinous that the death penalty is merited.

Lockett, a four-time felon, was convicted of shooting 19-year-old Stephanie Neiman and watching as two accomplices buried her alive in rural Kay County in 1999. Neiman and a friend had interrupted the men as they robbed a home.

"But it's also the case that we have a fundamental standard in this country that even when the death penalty is justified, it must be carried out humanely," Carney said. "Everyone would recognize this case fell short of this standard."

Questions about execution procedures have drawn renewed attention from defense attorneys and death penalty opponents in recent months, as several states scrambled to find new sources of execution drugs because drugmakers that oppose capital punishment — many based in Europe — have stopped selling to U.S. prisons and corrections departments.

Defense attorneys have unsuccessfully challenged several states' policies of shielding the identities of the source of their execution drugs. Missouri and Texas, like Oklahoma, have both refused to reveal their sources and both of those states have carried out executions with their new supplies.

The medical examiner's office, which said earlier Wednesday that the autopsy had begun, later said only the toxicology portion of the autopsy had been started and that the surgical portion will be conducted by an independent pathologist.

Medical examiner's spokeswoman Amy Elliott said the autopsy on Lockett would include an examination of the injection sites on his arms and a toxicology report to determine what drugs were in his system. Elliott said and it could take two to four months to complete the toxicology report.

Tuesday was the first time Oklahoma used the sedative midazolam as the first element in its execution drug combination. Other states have used it before; Florida administers 500 milligrams of midazolam as part of its three-drug combination. Oklahoma used 100 milligrams of that drug.

Oklahoma's Attorney General Scott Pruitt had said about a month ago that the lower dosage would ensure the state maintains an adequate supply for future executions.

"We say 100 milligrams is going to the job," Pruitt said at the time, adding that the information the state had indicated that at that dose, "you go to sleep doggone quick."

In Ohio, the January execution of an inmate who made snorting and gasping sounds led to a civil rights lawsuit by his family and calls for a moratorium. That execution also used the drug midazolam, but in a lower dosage than Oklahoma used and as part of a two-drug combination. The state has stood by the execution but said Monday that it's boosting the dosages of its lethal injection drugs.

Lockett and Warner had sued the state for refusing to disclose details about the execution drugs, including where Oklahoma obtained them. The case, filed as a civil matter, placed Oklahoma's two highest courts at odds. The state Supreme Court later dismissed the inmates' claim that they were entitled to know the source of the drugs.

View Gallery


Oklahoma calls for review of death penalty rules


Gov. Mary Fallin says the probe will focus on the violent death of an inmate injected with a combination of drugs.
White House’s response


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Luis Miguel Goitizolo

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RE: ARE WE NOW IN THE END TIMES?
5/1/2014 10:59:11 AM

CSX train carrying oil derails in Virginia in fiery blast

Reuters


A freight train derailed in downtown Lynchburg, Virginia, and caught fire on Wednesday, April 30, 2014. No casualties have been reported. This video shows the blaze and thick smoke around some of the carriages. (Instagram/sherifelipe)


By Selam Gebrekidan

NEW YORK (Reuters) - A CSX Corp train carrying crude oil derailed and burst into flames in downtown Lynchburg, Virginia on Wednesday, spilling oil into the James River and forcing hundreds to evacuate.

CSX said 15 cars on a train traveling from Chicago to Virginia derailed at 2:30 p.m. EDT. Fire erupted on three cars, the company said. Photos and video from the scene showed high flames and a plume of black smoke. It was the second oil-train accident this year for CSX.

About two hours after the derailment, CSX said the fire had been extinguished. City officials said there were no injuries, but 300-350 people were evacuated from the area. Around 6:00 p.m., residents were allowed to return to their homes.

The fiery derailment a short distance from office buildings in the city of 77,000 was sure to bring more calls from environmentalists and activists for stricter regulations of the burgeoning business of shipping crude oil by rail.

JoAnn Martin, the city's director of communications, said three or four tank cars were leaking, and burning oil was spilling into the river, which runs to Chesapeake Bay. She said firefighters were trying to contain the spill.

Kathy Bedsworth, owner of the Carriage House Inn bed and breakfast in Lynchburg, the commercial hub of central Virginia, told Reuters flames streaked as high as 60 feet.

"There was black, black, black smoke and huge billows of flames. The flames were taller than the buildings," she told Reuters over the phone after heading to the scene of the incident five blocks from her guest house.

The U.S. Department of Transportation said it was sending Federal Railroad Administration inspectors to the scene. The National Transportation Safety Board was sending investigators. The Environmental Protection Agency said an official was heading there to help the state monitor air quality.

There was no immediate information about the origin of the cargo or the train's final destination. One of the only oil facilities to the east of Lynchburg is a converted refinery in Yorktown, now a storage depot run by Plains All American. The company did not immediately reply to queries.

It was not clear what caused the accident. CSX said it was "responding fully" with emergency personnel, safety and environmental experts.

NEW RULES

Several trains carrying crude have derailed over the past year. Last July, a runaway train in Lac-Megantic, Quebec, derailed and exploded, killing 47 people. In January, a CSX train carrying crude oil derailed in Philadelphia, nearly toppling over a bridge.

With more trains hauling crude and flammable liquids across North America, U.S. regulators are expected soon to propose new rules for more robust tank cars to replace older models; Canadian authorities did so last week.

"With this event, regulators could try to expedite the process, and they'll likely err on the side of the more costly safety requirements in order to reduce the risk of these accidents in the future," said Michael Cohen, vice president for research at Barclays in New York.

Tougher rules could drive up costs for firms that lease tank cars and ship oil from the remote Bakken shale of North Dakota, which relies heavily on trains. It could also boost business for companies that manufacture new cars, such as Greenbrier Companies and Trinity Industries.

Residents across the country have voiced concern about oil trains, often a mile long, passing near their communities, particularly in New York and the Pacific Northwest. Derailments have occurred in places as far removed as Alberta and Quebec in Canada, and North Dakota and Alabama in the United States.

In Virginia, environmental groups including the Sierra Club and the Chesapeake Bay Foundation have opposed expansion of crude-by-rail shipments through the region to the Yorktown terminal, which can handle 140,000 barrels per day. CSX's route through populated areas like Lynchburg and the proximity to the James River have been mentioned as special concerns.

"These trains started bringing Bakken crude oil through Virginia to the Yorktown facility last December," Virginia Chapter Director Glen Besa told Reuters.

"This raises major questions, after numerous instances of derailments and explosions of Bakken crude on railroads in the last year. Now one of the questions is what the impact will be on the James River. Will this stuff sink or float?"

In January, CSX Chief Executive Officer Michael Ward told analysts the company planned to boost crude-by-rail shipments by 50 percent this year. He said the Jacksonville, Florida-based railroad was working with U.S. regulators to address safety concerns in light of recent derailments and fires.

(Reporting by Selam Gebrekidan, Joshua Schneyer, Anna Driver, Patrick Rucker, Josephine Mason, Ian Simpson; Editing by David Gregorio)




After a fiery accident in downtown Lynchburg, several train cars are leaking oil into a river, official says.
Evacuations



"Choose a job you love and you will not have to work a day in your life" (Confucius)

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Luis Miguel Goitizolo

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RE: ARE WE NOW IN THE END TIMES?
5/1/2014 11:10:37 AM

New video emerges from inside South Korean ferry as ship sank

Eric Pfeiffer
Yahoo News




A heartbreaking new video taken inside a capsized South Korean ferry shows that students were told to stay in their cabins even as the ship’s crew and captain fled to safety.

The video was shot on the phone of Park Su-hyeon, 17, whose body was recovered from the vessel by South Korean coast guard rescuers. The video was released to South Korean television by the boy’s father, Park Jong-dae, as part of an effort to show the public how things went wrong about the ferry.

In the video, a number of the student passengers can be overheard expressing their fears about the ship’s fate. But at the same time, other passengers appear unaware of the gravity of the situation aboard the Sewol.

“This looks like the end,” one teenage passenger says in a translation provided by the New York Times . Another asks, “Are we becoming a Titanic?” In a separate translation provided by CNN, another passenger asks, “"You think I'm really going to die?"”

Ninety-two passengers are still reported as missing amongst the original 476 aboard the vessel. Of those, 325 were second year high school students.

The full 15-minute video was broadcast on South Korean television and has been viewed nearly 200,000 times on YouTube since being posted Monday evening. The faces of the passengers have been blurred to protect the identities of the victims, many of whom have still not been recovered.

“This is by far the most heartbreaking scene I have seen in my 27-year broadcasting career,” television producer Choi Seung-ho said while airing the footage in a translation provided by the Times.

In the video, a voice can be heard on the ship’s intercom telling students and teachers to stay in their cabins. At the same time, the ship’s crew and captain fled the ship through a crew only exit. Rescuers later said they had no idea the man they were pulling from the ship was the captain.

“During the rescue operation, people were just dropping in the sea," South Korean coast guard Capt. Kim Kyung Il said in a press conference translated by CNN. "Everyone was wearing a life vest, so we couldn't tell who was passenger, and who was crew."

Some of the student passengers appeared to question the instructions to stay in their cabins, with one voice saying, “Nonsense. I want to get off. I mean it.” Another student also questioned the instructions, asking, “What’s going on? If they are telling us to wear life jackets, doesn’t that mean that the ship is sinking?”

The ship’s captain Lee Joon-seok and 14 crewmembers have been arrested and charged with abandoning their passengers in an emergency.

"My son, it must have been cold and dark where you were," Jong-dae, said while reading a statement on JTBC, the South Korean network that carried the footage. "How much you must have been cold and afraid?

"I hoped and prayed for your survival, but it didn't turn out that way,” Jong-dae continued. “My son, now it's time for us to say goodbye. It's time for you and me to say goodbye and for me to let go of the hope that I could not let go so far. Please forgive me.”

Follow Eric Pfeiffer on Twitter (@ericpfeiffer)





A new video taken inside a capsized South Korean ferry shows that students were told to stay in their cabins.
Some questioned the order



"Choose a job you love and you will not have to work a day in your life" (Confucius)

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